The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:

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Newsday: Gary Denbo expected to replace Mark Newman in Yankees’ front office
(40 Comments - 10/22/2014 3:26:37 am)

NY Post: With Chili Davis off market, Yankees turn to Dave Magadan
(27 Comments - 10/21/2014 4:14:39 am)

TGS NY: Can McCann help lead the Bombers back?
(42 Comments - 10/19/2014 6:53:53 pm)

NYDN: Dave Magadan, Chili Davis are early frontrunners for Yankees hitting coach job
(34 Comments - 10/17/2014 9:05:10 am)

TGS NY: Eleven young Yankees on the rise in 2015
(76 Comments - 10/16/2014 10:13:29 am)

Newsday: Sources: Yankees considering Omar Minaya for high-ranking position in front office
(75 Comments - 10/15/2014 9:29:03 am)

NY Post: Yankees make to-do list: Third base, shortstop, rotation, closer
(63 Comments - 10/15/2014 1:12:44 am)

CBS Local: Yankees, General Manager Brian Cashman Agree To 3-Year Extension
(120 Comments - 10/14/2014 8:11:12 pm) Cashman signs three-year deal to continue as GM
(1 Comment - 10/10/2014 3:26:05 pm)

NY Post: Why David Robertson likely will remain a Yankee in 2015
(15 Comments - 10/10/2014 3:22:39 pm)


Current Projected

Look what people have to say about the RLYW!

CAIRO just takes the Marcels and changes the underlying assumptions and components in a bunch of ways that make the Yankees look better.

Wow, two stupid posts in one day. I think you’ve reached your yearly quota.

I don’t know if any of you current posters were around for that, but if so, I just can’t understand how you can call yourselves Yankee fans. Pathetic quitters is what you sounded like. Of the lame posts I could stand to read, the only person who had any confidence in the Yankees at that point was a (yeesh) Red Sox fan.
Jeter is King

Quite the attitude you have SG. Maybe you should shitcan this blog and join Steve at WasWatching? Or follow some other stupid team that has made the PS 15 of the last 17 years. Jeez… and some people think Yankee fans are entitled.

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Thursday, August 4, 2011 Nova pitches Yanks to sweep, tie for first

At U.S. Cellular Field on Thursday—less than 24 hours before beginning a weekend series against the Red Sox—the Yankees matched their longest winning streak of the season at seven, moved into a first-place tie after Boston’s loss to the Indians, and got a 4-1 win thanks to another dominant performance by a young starter.

On this night, it was Ivan Nova.

Nova, who made a solid big league return on Saturday and remained in the rotation this week, limited the spiraling White Sox to one run on six hits in 7 2/3 innings to run his season ERA to 3.81 and perhaps give manager Joe Girardi a bigger rotation question than he ever anticipated.

Tonight was the best Nova’s ever pitched IMO. 

According to Pitch F/X, Nova threw his first cutter on May 28.  Fangraphs says he doesn’t throw a cutter, that it’s a slider.  Whatever it is, since he’s started throwing it Nova has been a different pitcher.

Through 5/21 226 9.3% 11.5%
Since 5/28 235 7.2% 17.4%

We of course need to remember that sample size limits how much we can take from this, but it’s worth mentioning that changes in walk rate and strikeout rate tend to stabilize more quickly than a lot of other statistics.  For walk rate, changes are generally meaningful after about 150 PA and for strikeout rate it’s about 200 PA.

Unfortunately for Nova, it’s going to be tough for the Yankees to work a six man rotation long-term.  Since he won’t be available to pitch for at least three or four days and they’re probably not going to want to go into Fenway with a three man bench, he may get optioned back to AAA despite doing nothing but pitching well since his call up.  Even if that happens, I get the sense it won’t be for long.  Although there’s a rule that any player optioned to the minors has to spend 10 days down before being recalled, in the case of injury they can usually bypass that rule. 

With Boston losing tonight, the Yankees will head to Fenway tied for first place in the AL East.  I’ll make a bold prediction.  By the end of this weekend’s series one team will be in first place and one will be in second place.

--Posted at 9:57 pm by SG / 60 Comments | - (0)

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