Tuesday, May 22, 2012
What if the Yankees Had Performed at an Average Rate with Runners on Base?
With all the harping on the Yankees’ performance with runners in scoring position of late, I wondered how many more wins they’d have if they had just performed at an average rate in all base/out situations and weren’t so unclutch.
If we replace the Yankees actual runs scored in each game with the linear weights batting runs instead, they’d be 22-20 instead of 21-21. The only game they lost that they would have won was 4/24/2012 vs. Texas, the game where Yu Darvish out-dueled Hiroki Kuroda..
So no, this team really hasn’t been that unlucky. They just haven’t played very well.
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