The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:
 








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Blue Jays (78-76) @ Yankees (79-75), Sunday, September 21, 2014, 1:05pm
(11 Comments - 9/21/2014 3:47:05 pm)

Blue Jays (77-76) @ Yankees (79-74), Saturday, September 20, 2014, 4:05pm
(23 Comments - 9/21/2014 6:31:06 am)

Blue Jays (77-75) @ Yankees (78-74), Friday, September 19, 2014, 7:05pm
(25 Comments - 9/20/2014 8:14:40 pm)

NY Times: Against Blue Jays, Derek Jeter and Yankees Show Signs of Life
(24 Comments - 9/19/2014 4:02:27 pm)

Blue Jays (77-74) @ Yankees (77-74), Thursday, September 18, 2014, 7:05pm
(25 Comments - 9/19/2014 9:14:56 am)

NJ.com: Derek Jeter breaks his slump
(19 Comments - 9/18/2014 6:36:21 pm)

Yankees (76-74) @ Rays (74-78), Wednesday, September 17, 2014, 7:10pm
(38 Comments - 9/18/2014 10:13:41 am)

Yankees.com: Rays open floodgates on Yanks after close call
(21 Comments - 9/17/2014 3:22:32 pm)

Yankees (76-73) @ Rays (73-78), Tuesday, September 16, 2014, 7:10pm
(37 Comments - 9/16/2014 11:10:30 pm)

NY Post: Yankees eliminated from East, wild-card hopes all but over
(42 Comments - 9/16/2014 4:50:39 pm)



Player

Current Projected

Look what people have to say about the RLYW!

CAIRO just takes the Marcels and changes the underlying assumptions and components in a bunch of ways that make the Yankees look better.
-alskor

Wow, two stupid posts in one day. I think you’ve reached your yearly quota.
sabernar

I don’t know if any of you current posters were around for that, but if so, I just can’t understand how you can call yourselves Yankee fans. Pathetic quitters is what you sounded like. Of the lame posts I could stand to read, the only person who had any confidence in the Yankees at that point was a (yeesh) Red Sox fan.
Jeter is King

Quite the attitude you have SG. Maybe you should shitcan this blog and join Steve at WasWatching? Or follow some other stupid team that has made the PS 15 of the last 17 years. Jeez… and some people think Yankee fans are entitled.
OldYanksFan




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Monday, March 25, 2013

Vernon Wells’s Projections

2013

Projection PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB HBP SO GDP avg obp slg wOBA BR BR/650 BRAR
cairo 430 398 51 95 19 1 19 53 6 3 28 2 66 9 .238 .289 .438 .312 49 74 7
davenport 344 323 39 76 14 1 13 41 4 2 19 1 55 7 .235 .279 .406 .296 35 66 1
marcel 384 356 46 86 17 2 17 47 5 2 23 2 60 8 .242 .289 .444 .314 45 75 7
oliver 486 445 54 108 22 1 15 58 6 3 34 3 79 10 .243 .298 .398 .304 51 69 3
steamer 297 273 34 67 13 1 11 38 4 2 18 2 45 6 .245 .293 .421 .308 33 72 3
zips 449 420 53 104 20 2 17 52 7 3 24 2 67 9 .248 .290 .426 .308 50 72 6
average 398 369 46 89 18 1 15 48 5 2 24 2 62 8 .242 .290 .422 .307 44 71 5
2012 262 243 36 56 9 0 11 29 3 1 16 1 35 5 .230 .279 .403 .295 27 66 1

wOBA: Weighted on-base average
BR: Linear weights batting runs
BR/650: BR per 650 PA
BRAR: BR above replacement level, adjusted for park and position

BRAR is assuming Wells is a LF.

CAIRO Percentile Forecasts

Percentile PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB HBP SO GDP avg obp slg wOBA BR BR/650 BRAR
80% 602 558 82 146 33 3 33 85 12 1 46 4 82 9 .262 .326 .512 .359 91 98 31
65% 516 478 66 119 26 2 26 68 9 2 36 3 75 9 .250 .307 .475 .335 68 86 18
Baseline 430 398 51 95 19 1 19 53 6 3 28 2 66 9 .238 .288 .438 .312 49 74 7
35% 344 319 38 72 14 1 14 40 4 1 20 1 56 9 .225 .270 .401 .288 34 64 0
20% 258 239 26 51 9 0 9 27 2 1 13 0 45 7 .213 .251 .363 .264 21 53 -4

Defense and Baserunning

player pos Inn DRS UZR ZR avg p150
vernon wells rf 152 0 0 0 0 -2
vernon wells cf 495 -3 -4 -2 -3 -8
vernon wells lf 811 -2 4 1 1 2

DRS: Defensive runs saved
UZR: Ultimate zone rating
ZR: zone rating
p150: Average defense pro-rated to 150 games

gar sbr aar har oar brr
0.1 0.5 -0.4 0.5 0.1 0.3

gar: ground-advancement runs
sbr: stolen base runs
aar: air-advancement runs
har: hit-advancement runs
oar: other-advancement runs
brr: gar+aar+har+oar

Value
Assuming 398 PA.

Value BRAR+brr Def WAR
cairo 6 0 0.6
davenport 1 0 0.1
marcel 7 0 0.7
oliver 4 0 0.4
steamer 4 0 0.4
zips 6 0 0.6
average 5 0 0.5

If you can’t say anything nice…

--Posted at 5:20 am by SG / 78 Comments | - (0)



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