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Current Projected

Look what people have to say about the RLYW!

CAIRO just takes the Marcels and changes the underlying assumptions and components in a bunch of ways that make the Yankees look better.

Wow, two stupid posts in one day. I think you’ve reached your yearly quota.

I don’t know if any of you current posters were around for that, but if so, I just can’t understand how you can call yourselves Yankee fans. Pathetic quitters is what you sounded like. Of the lame posts I could stand to read, the only person who had any confidence in the Yankees at that point was a (yeesh) Red Sox fan.
Jeter is King

Quite the attitude you have SG. Maybe you should shitcan this blog and join Steve at WasWatching? Or follow some other stupid team that has made the PS 15 of the last 17 years. Jeez… and some people think Yankee fans are entitled.

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Friday, August 1, 2014

The “New” Yankees vs. the “Old” Yankees

With the recent acquisitions of Chase Headley, Stephen Drew and Martin Prado, it’s fair to say the Yankees should have a better lineup going forward than they’ve had for most of the season.  The question is, how much better?

Here are the rest of the season Steamer projections for the Yankees’ most frequently used lineup to this point of the season.

Order Player Pos PA wOBA Outs BR
1 Brett Gardner LF 4.45 .328 3 0.54
2 Derek Jeter SS 4.00 .311 3 0.42
3 Jacoby Ellsbury CF 4.00 .332 3 0.51
4 Mark Teixeira 1B 4.00 .348 3 0.54
5 Brian McCann C 4.00 .336 3 0.50
6 Carlos Beltran DH 4.00 .353 3 0.57
7 Ichiro Suzuki RF 4.00 .297 3 0.39
8 Brian Roberts 2B 4.00 .296 3 0.42
9 Kelly Johnson 3B 4.00 .318 3 0.53
36.45 .324 24.00 4.41
p162 714.85

wOBA: Weighted on-base average
BR: Linear weights batting runs
Outs: Outs made at the plate per game

Here’s what the lineup could look like now with the new additions.

Order Player Pos PA wOBA Outs BR
1 Brett Gardner LF 4.56 .328 3 0.55
2 Derek Jeter SS 4.00 .311 3 0.42
3 Jacoby Ellsbury CF 4.00 .332 3 0.51
4 Mark Teixeira 1B 4.00 .348 3 0.54
5 Brian McCann C 4.00 .336 3 0.50
6 Carlos Beltran DH 4.00 .353 3 0.57
7 Chase Headley 3B 4.00 .337 3 0.51
8 Martin Prado RF 4.00 .322 3 0.47
9 Stephen Drew 2B 4.00 .306 3 0.43
36.56 .330 24.00 4.50
p162 728.96

Standard caveats about projections apply.  They are imprecise attempts to estimate a player’s true talent and could be inaccurate in either direction for a myriad number of reasons.

The Yankees added about one-tenth of a run per game.  Over a full season that might be worth a win or two.  We can also probably assume that the defense will be better with Headley at 3B and Drew at 2B, although he’s never played the position before.

The Yankees still face long odds to qualify for the postseason given where they are in the standings and the fact that they still aren’t a particularly good team.  But they are better today than they were on Wednesday, and they did it without harming themselves in the long-term.

It’s hard to complain about that.

--Posted at 9:10 am by SG / 26 Comments | - (0)

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