The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:
 



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Yankees (28-16) @ Orioles (23-21), Tuesday, May 21, 2013, 7:05pm
(24 Comments - 5/21/2013 8:08:13 pm)

Yankees.com: Hafner delivers clutch homer before Yanks win in 10th
(50 Comments - 5/21/2013 4:13:41 pm)

Yankees (27-16) @ Orioles (23-20), Monday, May 20, 2013, 7:05pm
(120 Comments - 5/20/2013 10:49:28 pm)

NJ.com: McCullough: As Yankees rely on Lyle Overbay, he continues to contribute
(18 Comments - 5/20/2013 5:33:21 pm)

Blue Jays (17-26) @ Yankees (27-16), Sunday, May 19, 2013, 1:05pm
(53 Comments - 5/20/2013 11:12:58 am)

MLB: Yankees add Brignac to their infield fold
(7 Comments - 5/19/2013 4:23:06 pm)

Yankees.com: Cano’s two homers help Yanks take care of Jays
(45 Comments - 5/19/2013 11:10:26 am)

Blue Jays (17-25) @ Yankees (26-16), Saturday, May 18, 2013, 1:05pm
(43 Comments - 5/18/2013 5:13:03 pm)

Yankees.com: Kuroda stifles Blue Jays with eight two-hit innings
(3 Comments - 5/18/2013 4:42:45 pm)

Blue Jays (17-24) @ Yankees (25-16), Friday, May 17, 2013, 7:05pm
(68 Comments - 5/18/2013 11:10:54 am)

Player

 Current Projected
Look what people have to say about the RLYW!

CAIRO just takes the Marcels and changes the underlying assumptions and components in a bunch of ways that make the Yankees look better.
-alskor

Wow, two stupid posts in one day. I think you’ve reached your yearly quota.
sabernar

I don’t know if any of you current posters were around for that, but if so, I just can’t understand how you can call yourselves Yankee fans. Pathetic quitters is what you sounded like. Of the lame posts I could stand to read, the only person who had any confidence in the Yankees at that point was a (yeesh) Red Sox fan.
Jeter is King


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Tuesday, January 29, 2013

NY Times: Yankees Sign Juan Rivera to Minor League Deal

The Yankees signed the right-handed-hitting outfielder Juan Rivera to a minor league deal, according to a person with knowledge of the agreement. Rivera, a 34-year-old veteran from Venezuela, will compete with Matt Diaz and Russ Canzler for a spot as a reserve outfielder.

I don’t know how much Rivera has left, but on a minor league deal he’s worth a flier I guess.  Here are his CAIRO projections as a Yankee.

% PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO GDP HBP AVG OBP SLG wOBA BR BRAR
80% 316 287 38 81 18 1 14 53 3 0 28 36 6 4 .283 .359 .498 .373 49 12
65% 279 254 30 68 14 1 11 44 2 1 22 35 7 3 .266 .332 .453 .342 37 4
Baseline 243 221 24 55 10 0 8 35 1 1 17 34 8 2 .249 .306 .407 .311 26 -2
35% 219 199 19 46 8 0 6 29 1 2 14 33 8 1 .233 .279 .361 .280 19 -7
20% 194 177 15 38 6 0 4 23 0 2 11 32 8 0 .216 .253 .316 .249 12 -10
Baseline 243 221 24 55 10 0 8 35 1 1 17 34 8 2 .249 .306 .407 .311 26 -2

BR: Linear weights batting runs
BRAR: BR above replacement level, adjusted for position
wOBA: Weighted on-base average

Since he’s likely to be a platoon player if anything, here are his projected wOBA splits.

% wOBA vs L wOBA vs R
80% .373 .348
65% .349 .326
Baseline .326 .304
35% .302 .282
20% .279 .260

So who’s the best choice between Rivera, Canzler and Diaz?  Here’s how their baseline platoon splits compare.

% wOBA vs L wOBA vs R
Rivera .326 .304
Canzler .334 .315
Diaz .321 .288

Canzler’s projection is based more on his MLEs, but given his positional flexibility and relative youth I think he’s the best option.  But we’ll see how it all shakes out.

--Posted at 8:17 am by SG / 16 Comments | - (0)


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