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Player

Current Projected

Look what people have to say about the RLYW!

CAIRO just takes the Marcels and changes the underlying assumptions and components in a bunch of ways that make the Yankees look better.
-alskor

Wow, two stupid posts in one day. I think you’ve reached your yearly quota.
sabernar

I don’t know if any of you current posters were around for that, but if so, I just can’t understand how you can call yourselves Yankee fans. Pathetic quitters is what you sounded like. Of the lame posts I could stand to read, the only person who had any confidence in the Yankees at that point was a (yeesh) Red Sox fan.
Jeter is King

Quite the attitude you have SG. Maybe you should shitcan this blog and join Steve at WasWatching? Or follow some other stupid team that has made the PS 15 of the last 17 years. Jeez… and some people think Yankee fans are entitled.
OldYanksFan




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Tuesday, January 29, 2013

NY Times: Yankees Sign Juan Rivera to Minor League Deal

The Yankees signed the right-handed-hitting outfielder Juan Rivera to a minor league deal, according to a person with knowledge of the agreement. Rivera, a 34-year-old veteran from Venezuela, will compete with Matt Diaz and Russ Canzler for a spot as a reserve outfielder.

I don’t know how much Rivera has left, but on a minor league deal he’s worth a flier I guess.  Here are his CAIRO projections as a Yankee.

% PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO GDP HBP AVG OBP SLG wOBA BR BRAR
80% 316 287 38 81 18 1 14 53 3 0 28 36 6 4 .283 .359 .498 .373 49 12
65% 279 254 30 68 14 1 11 44 2 1 22 35 7 3 .266 .332 .453 .342 37 4
Baseline 243 221 24 55 10 0 8 35 1 1 17 34 8 2 .249 .306 .407 .311 26 -2
35% 219 199 19 46 8 0 6 29 1 2 14 33 8 1 .233 .279 .361 .280 19 -7
20% 194 177 15 38 6 0 4 23 0 2 11 32 8 0 .216 .253 .316 .249 12 -10
Baseline 243 221 24 55 10 0 8 35 1 1 17 34 8 2 .249 .306 .407 .311 26 -2

BR: Linear weights batting runs
BRAR: BR above replacement level, adjusted for position
wOBA: Weighted on-base average

Since he’s likely to be a platoon player if anything, here are his projected wOBA splits.

% wOBA vs L wOBA vs R
80% .373 .348
65% .349 .326
Baseline .326 .304
35% .302 .282
20% .279 .260

So who’s the best choice between Rivera, Canzler and Diaz?  Here’s how their baseline platoon splits compare.

% wOBA vs L wOBA vs R
Rivera .326 .304
Canzler .334 .315
Diaz .321 .288

Canzler’s projection is based more on his MLEs, but given his positional flexibility and relative youth I think he’s the best option.  But we’ll see how it all shakes out.

--Posted at 8:17 am by SG / 16 Comments | - (0)



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