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Player

Current Projected

Look what people have to say about the RLYW!

CAIRO just takes the Marcels and changes the underlying assumptions and components in a bunch of ways that make the Yankees look better.
-alskor

Wow, two stupid posts in one day. I think you’ve reached your yearly quota.
sabernar

I don’t know if any of you current posters were around for that, but if so, I just can’t understand how you can call yourselves Yankee fans. Pathetic quitters is what you sounded like. Of the lame posts I could stand to read, the only person who had any confidence in the Yankees at that point was a (yeesh) Red Sox fan.
Jeter is King

Quite the attitude you have SG. Maybe you should shitcan this blog and join Steve at WasWatching? Or follow some other stupid team that has made the PS 15 of the last 17 years. Jeez… and some people think Yankee fans are entitled.
OldYanksFan




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Tuesday, December 11, 2012

MLB: Yanks agree to one-year deal with Youkilis

Kevin Youkilis and the Yankees have agreed to a one-year, $12 million contract, pending a physical, according to a source.

Youkilis, who will turn 34 in March, was one of the top corner infielders available on the free-agent market. He will fill in at third base while Alex Rodriguez recovers from left hip surgery that he’s expected to undergo in January. Rodriguez is likely to be sidelined for four to six months after the operation.

Youkilis has obviously struggled with performance and health over the last two years, but he’s not far removed from being one of the better hitters in baseball.  Here are his CAIRO percentile forecasts as a Yankee.

% PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO GDP HBP AVG OBP SLG wOBA BR BRAR
80% 592 503 102 137 30 4 29 87 5 0 77 106 8 20 .271 .394 .520 .399 100 41
65% 523 445 86 115 24 3 23 72 4 1 64 99 8 16 .259 .371 .482 .374 79 26
Baseline 455 387 70 95 19 2 18 59 3 1 52 91 9 12 .246 .349 .444 .348 61 15
35% 410 348 60 81 15 1 15 50 2 1 43 86 9 9 .233 .327 .406 .323 47 6
20% 364 310 50 68 11 0 11 41 1 2 36 81 9 7 .221 .304 .368 .297 35 -1

BR: Linear weights batting runs
BRAR: BR above replacement level, adjusted for position
wOBA: Weighted on-base average

His BRAR are as a 3B, so assuming he sees time at 1B and DH he’d be a bit less valuable but if he can get more than those 455 baseline PAs he probably gets close to about 2 wins in value and may push the Yankees back to the top of the AL East.  He projects a bit below average as a 3B and a bit better than average as a 1B defensively and has generally been about average on the bases although he was about 3 runs worse than that in 2012.

We learned to root for Wade Boggs and we learned to root for Roger Clemens.  Hopefully Youkilis forces us to root for him too.

--Posted at 6:57 pm by SG / 28 Comments | - (0)



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