The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:
 








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Yankees.com: Pineda’s six shutout innings steer Yanks to sweep
(9 Comments - 4/17/2014 4:36:26 am)

Cubs (4-8) @ The Championship Caliber Yankees (7-6), Wednesday, April 16, 2014, Double Header
(288 Comments - 4/17/2014 12:00:23 am)

Lohud: Murphy and Sizemore called up; Cervelli placed on 60-day
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NY Post: Why the Yankees are using the shift more than ever
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NY Post: Cervelli going to DL as Yankees continue to jumble roster
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Yankees.com: Nova, Beltran lead Yanks to series win over Red Sox
(78 Comments - 4/15/2014 9:44:48 am)

Q&A with the Replacement Level Red Sox Blog, Part 2
(4 Comments - 4/14/2014 10:52:43 am)

Red Sox (5-7) @ The Championship Caliber Yankees (6-6), Sunday, April 13, 2014, 8:05pm
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Yankees.com: Comforts of homers: McCann powers win over Sox
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Red Sox (5-6) @ The Championship Caliber Yankees (5-6), Saturday, April 12, 1:05pm
(83 Comments - 4/13/2014 3:40:06 pm)



Player

Current Projected

Look what people have to say about the RLYW!

CAIRO just takes the Marcels and changes the underlying assumptions and components in a bunch of ways that make the Yankees look better.
-alskor

Wow, two stupid posts in one day. I think you’ve reached your yearly quota.
sabernar

I don’t know if any of you current posters were around for that, but if so, I just can’t understand how you can call yourselves Yankee fans. Pathetic quitters is what you sounded like. Of the lame posts I could stand to read, the only person who had any confidence in the Yankees at that point was a (yeesh) Red Sox fan.
Jeter is King

Quite the attitude you have SG. Maybe you should shitcan this blog and join Steve at WasWatching? Or follow some other stupid team that has made the PS 15 of the last 17 years. Jeez… and some people think Yankee fans are entitled.
OldYanksFan




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Tuesday, November 6, 2012

2012 In Review - Nick Swisher

Getting Nick Swisher has been one of Brian Cashman’s best moves.  Swisher provided the Yankees with four strong regular seasons at a below market rate while costing the Yankees nothing they’ve really missed.  Swisher’s 2012 was probably the second best season of his Yankee career.  Here’s how it compared to his projections.

Projection PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO GDP HBP avg obp slg wOBA BR BR/650 BRAR
cairo 626 533 84 138 31 1 24 82 2 2 80 129 15 5 .259 .357 .455 .354 86 90 27
davenport 594 510 71 135 26 1 27 76 1 2 80 121 13 4 .265 .370 .478 .370 87 96 27
marcel 581 497 76 131 29 1 23 76 2 2 71 119 13 5 .264 .358 .465 .357 81 91 26
oliver 599 512 72 133 31 1 20 77 1 1 75 120 15 4 .260 .355 .441 .349 80 87 23
pecota 600 514 78 129 28 1 23 73 2 1 81 132 13 5 .251 .360 .444 .354 82 89 25
zips 587 498 76 126 27 1 24 82 1 2 80 129 14 4 .253 .359 .456 .356 81 90 25
average 598 509 80 132 29 1 23 78 2 2 78 125 14 4 .259 .360 .458 .357 83 90 26
Projection PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI SB CS BB SO GDP HBP avg obp slg wOBA BR BR/650 BRAR
cairo 624 531 84 138 31 1 24 82 2 2 80 129 15 5 .259 .356 .455 .354 86 90 27
davenport 624 536 75 142 27 1 28 80 1 2 84 127 14 4 .265 .369 .478 .370 92 96 28
marcel 624 534 82 141 31 1 25 82 2 2 76 128 14 5 .264 .356 .465 .357 87 91 28
oliver 624 533 75 139 32 1 21 80 1 1 78 125 16 4 .260 .354 .441 .349 83 87 24
pecota 624 534 81 134 29 1 24 76 2 1 84 137 14 5 .251 .359 .444 .354 85 89 26
zips 624 529 81 134 29 1 26 87 1 2 85 137 15 4 .253 .358 .456 .356 86 90 27
average 624 531 84 138 30 1 25 81 2 2 81 130 14 5 .259 .358 .458 .357 87 90 28
2012 624 537 75 146 36 0 24 75 2 3 77 141 9 4 .272 .364 .473 .364 91 94 31
diff -9 8 6 -1 -1 -6 0 1 -4 11 -5 -1 .013 .005 .015 .008
2012 League Avg 624 561 73 143 28 3 18 70 11 4 50 120 13 5 .255 .320 .411 .311 72 75
2011 624 517 80 135 29 0 23 84 2 2 93 123 18 5 .260 .373 .449 .362 88 91 28

diff: Difference between average projection and 2012 actual statistic
wOBA: Weighted on-base average
BR: Linear weights batting runs
BRAR: BR above replacement level, adjusted for position

The second set of projections, league average and 2011 stats are pro-rated to 2012 PA to allow a direct comparison.  League average is not adjusted for DNYS so mentally account for that.

Swisher was able to get a few more hits to fall in this year than projected, mostly doubles and that helped him outhit his average projection slightly.  He was worth 3-4 runs more than projected.  His versatility on defense was also important to the Yankees as he was asked to play 1B frequently with Mark Teixeira out and did it well (around +5 in 259 innings).

Unfortunately, Swisher’s postseasons for the Yankees have not been nearly as productive as his regular seasons.  I don’t know if it means he doesn’t handle pressure well or if he’s more susceptible to the better pitching he sees in the postseason or if it’s just a sample size issue.  But I know I hated watching it and I am certain it is the reason Swisher won’t be a Yankee in 2013.  The Yankees have made him a qualifying offer so that they can get a draft pick if he signs elsewhere, so there’s a minuscule chance he’ll be back next year.  But the only way that comes to pass is if he can’t get a contract for more than one year at a higher rate than the qualifying offer ($13.3M) and I just don’t see that happening.

Regardless, it’s been mostly great to have Swisher on the Yankees and I wish him well wherever he goes.

Since we’re fully in offseason mode and no one seems to care about 2012 anymore I’m not sure If I’ll do individual reviews for the pitching staff.  I may just do a post on the starters and a post on the relievers and then a team wrap up.

--Posted at 8:36 am by SG / 51 Comments | - (0)



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