The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:
 








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NY Post: Hal Steinbrenner reveals a very un-Boss-like agenda for Yankees
(7 Comments - 10/2/2014 12:09:27 pm)

Giants (88-74) @ Pirates (88-74), Wednesday, October 31, 2014, 8:00pm
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NYDN: As Yankees head into offseason, here are five must-make moves to get them back to playoffs
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Athletics (88-74) @ Royals (89-73), Tuesday, September 30, 2014, 8:07 pm
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TGS NY: Yankees prep Brian Cashman deal
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NYDN: Brandon McCarthy enjoyed pitching for Yankees, appears willing to return to Bombers
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NY Times: As Jeter Ends Farewell Tour, Yanks Plan a Welcome Party
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Yankees.com: Jeter fittingly goes out a winner in final game
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Yankees (83-78) @ Red Sox (71-90), Sunday, September 28, 2014, 1:35pm
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Yankees (82-77) @ Red Sox (70-89), Friday, September 26, 2014, 7:10pm
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Player

Current Projected

Look what people have to say about the RLYW!

CAIRO just takes the Marcels and changes the underlying assumptions and components in a bunch of ways that make the Yankees look better.
-alskor

Wow, two stupid posts in one day. I think you’ve reached your yearly quota.
sabernar

I don’t know if any of you current posters were around for that, but if so, I just can’t understand how you can call yourselves Yankee fans. Pathetic quitters is what you sounded like. Of the lame posts I could stand to read, the only person who had any confidence in the Yankees at that point was a (yeesh) Red Sox fan.
Jeter is King

Quite the attitude you have SG. Maybe you should shitcan this blog and join Steve at WasWatching? Or follow some other stupid team that has made the PS 15 of the last 17 years. Jeez… and some people think Yankee fans are entitled.
OldYanksFan




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Sunday, November 14, 2010

2011 Yankee Position Player CAIRO Projections v0.1

Here are the first set of my 2011 CAIRO projections for the Yankees’ position players.  I’m still eyeballing the overall projections to make sure there are no egregious errors and double-checking all my aging/park factor/regression formula so these may change slightly, but they appear pretty close to what I’d have expected.

 Player   Age   Pos   PA   H   2B   3B   HR   SB   CS   BB   SO   avg   obp   slg   wOBA   BRAR   Def   WAR
 Cano, Robinson 29   2B 681  192  45  3   26  4  4  44  78  .306   .355  .511  .372  43  0   4.2 
 Rodriguez, Alex 36   3B 594  143  27  1   32  11  3  69  105  .281   .372  .526  .384  41  -3   3.8 
 Teixeira, Mark 31   1B 690  162  38  1   33  2  1  87  115  .276   .377  .515  .384  33  3   3.6 
 Granderson, Curtis 30   CF 638  143  26  9   25  14  4  68  124  .252   .335  .462  .346  29  3   3.2 
 Swisher, Nick 31   RF 626  139  32  2   26  2  2  77  135  .260   .354  .470  .357  25  0   2.5 
 Gardner, Brett 28   OF 504  116  17  6   5  38  7  60  91  .270   .358  .372  .329  14  11   2.5 
 Jeter, Derek 37   SS 699  181  29  2   13  15  5  63  96  .290   .360  .406  .342  32  -7   2.4 
 Montero, Jesus 22   C 508  122  29  2   18  1  1  41  85  .261   .326  .446  .337  24  0   2.4 
 Posada, Jorge 40   DH 412  95  21  1   15  2  1  47  93  .267   .355  .460  .355  17  0   1.7 
 Nunez, Eduardo 24   SS 528  127  22  2   7  19  7  26  68  .257   .296  .350  .286  6  -1   0.6 
 Romine, Austin 23   C 502  112  25  1   10  4  2  26  94  .238   .281  .362  .283  6  0   0.6 
 Miranda, Juan 28   1B 475  104  21  1   17  2  1  44  100  .246   .324  .428  .329  5  0   0.5 
 Huffman, Chad 26   OF 519  110  23  1   13  3  3  47  108  .239   .320  .378  .312  4  0   0.4 
 Cervelli, Francisco 25   C 292  65  12  1   3  2  2  24  47  .255   .326  .347  .303  5  -1   0.4 
 Corona, Reegie 25   2B 523  113  24  2   6  13  3  43  81  .240   .303  .341  .289  4  0   0.4 
 Pena, Ramiro 26   SS 324  72  11  2   3  7  3  20  57  .244   .290  .324  .274  1  3   0.4 
 Joseph, Corban 23   SS 541  113  23  5   6  5  7  42  105  .231   .296  .336  .283  3  0   0.3 
 Thames, Marcus 34   LF 336  76  12  0   16  1  2  27  83  .249   .311  .448  .327  7  -4   0.3 
 Curtis, Colin 26   OF 483  106  23  2   9  4  3  34  86  .242   .303  .361  .295  -1  -1   -0.1 
 Laird, Brandon 24   1B 557  125  24  2   19  2  1  34  105  .243   .295  .406  .306  -3  0   -0.3 
 Golson, Greg 26   OF 518  111  21  4   10  15  5  26  135  .231   .272  .351  .272  -6  1   -0.5 
 Angelini, Carmen 23   SS 483  98  14  1   6  9  5  27  99  .219   .270  .296  .255  -5  0   -0.5 

BRAR: Linear weights batting runs above replacement level (park and position-adjusted)
wOBA: Weighted on-base average
Def: Projected runs saved defensively compared to average
WAR: Wins above replacement level (BRAR plus Def divided by 10)

Defense is projected using an average of Chris Dial’s Zone Rating Runs Saved from Baseball Think Factory, Ultimate Zone Rating and John Dewan’s plus/minus runs saved, both from Fangraphs.  Since Sean Smith does his own TotalZone projections as part of his CHONE projections I’ll just wait for those and then add them in as well. 

If a player has not played in the majors yet, I didn’t project their defense so they are rated as average.  I’m not saying I think Jesus Montero is going to play average defense, I’m saying I have no idea how good or bad his defense will be and I’m not going to try and fudge it.

I do have most of the minor leaguers projected but didn’t include all of them in this table since I’m still looking over the MLEs.  Pitchers should be done this week as well, and hopefully the first set of projections for everyone will be out next week. 

Anyway, now that we have this we can start to think about where the Yankees’ lineup could use some improvement and what the options are for said improvement, which I’ll start tomorrow.

--Posted at 5:47 pm by SG / 44 Comments | - (0)



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