Monday, July 30, 2012
And then Valentine raised the prospect of the Yanks falling apart, a bigger longshot than the prospect of Boston overcoming an absurd rash of injuries and rallying over the final two months to earn one of two available wild cards.
Valentine wasn’t interested in talking about wild cards. When it was suggested Boston might be a liberated team in the postseason, a team feeling no pressure entering a sudden-death shootout, Valentine said, “But then again, we might win the division. Who knows?”
The division? The same division keeping the Red Sox in last place?
“Oh yeah,” Valentine said.
Not the wild card?
“I haven’t looked at it that way,” he answered. “No, no. ... We play a lot of games against the Yankees.”
The link plays a video so don’t click on it if you don’t want to see it.
I think as much as we hate to admit it, Valentine is right. No team that entered a series with an 11 game lead on a team and exited it with a 10 game lead with 61 games remaining has ever been able to hold on to such a slim lead.
The one advantage the Yankees have is that other teams don’t have the fearsome Pedro Ciriaco DHing for them. So maybe they can win a few more games against other teams.
Anyway, crappy series, but not a realistic cause for concern. Yes, the Yankees and the Red Sox play nine more times this year, but even if the Yankees win just one-third of those (like they just did) Boston has to outplay them by seven games over their other 52/51games respectively just to tie. The Yankees can probably win at least three of those Boston games that if they keep CC Sabathia off the mound in those nine games. So if the Yankees then went 27-25 over their 52 non-Boston games ( a winning percentage of 51.9%), Boston would have to win 33 of their final 51 (a winning percentage of 64.7%).
I’m not saying it couldn’t happen, because it could. But I am still not concerned about it.