The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:
 

Thursday, October 6, 2011

Regular Season vs. Postseason

Player A, 2009-2011
AVGOBPSLGwOBA
REG.267.368.486.368
Postseason.156.257.333.262

 

 

 

Nick Swisher

 

Comments

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Not much of a mystery here.

Hey, he hit some balls hard on Tuesday. Yes, I’d like to Posada at first and Montero DHing, but Player A is going to play and who knows, maybe he’ll do something good one of these years.

What’s interesting about the heat maps is that they show not just a “slump” or bad luck or anything in particular like that, he’s just a totally different (and way worse) hitter.

It’s not Teixeira, however.

Looks a little too low regular season to be Teix, so I’m guessing Gardner.

Swishalicious?

EDIT: dang you, rilke!! <<shakes tiny internet fist>>

[4] The edit function is an instrument of chaos.

Swish it is.

Also, regular season BABIP: .302
Postseason: .169

So looking at the graphics, are we to infer that Swisher does most of his damage on pitches in the middle of the plate and that any pitcher that can hit the corners against him will effectively shut him down?  I mean I suppose that’s true for all hitters, but maybe Swisher is more susceptible to good pitchers than a typical hitter?  If so, then his postseason issues aren’t just small sample size flukes, right?

Damn, of course I thought of Swish but the regular season OPS seemed to scream Texeira to me. Tex’s SLG is actually .514 over that time, OBP .367 to Swish’s .368. It’s actually kind of starting to blow my mind how many similarities they share, both being perhaps-overly-selective switch hitters who put up good to great numbers and then get mowed down in the playoffs every year.

EDIT: Both way better from the right side, too.

[8] It’s certainly been suggested before that Swisher takes disproportionate advantage of bad pitching. It seems like it wouldn’t be all that hard to look into statistically but I haven’t seen it happen.

Anyway, until I need somebody to blame after the crushing loss tonight, I’ll just be happy for Swisher for getting his first ever postseason hit with RISP last night. Even if it didn’t score a run.

It appears that he is killing the inside pitch in the post season, a pitch that he can’t handle in the regular season. Is his approach different in the PS? Is he trying to pull everything?

So looking at the graphics, are we to infer that Swisher does most of his damage on pitches in the middle of the plate and that any pitcher that can hit the corners against him will effectively shut him down?  I mean I suppose that’s true for all hitters, but maybe Swisher is more susceptible to good pitchers than a typical hitter?  If so, then his postseason issues aren’t just small sample size flukes, right?

That’s definitely a possibility.  Plus, players are more likely to face top quality pitching in the playoffs, which could also account for the greater discrepancy.

I really should have posted splits showing Swisher from each side of the plate separately, but I got lazy.  But essentially, the graphics aren’t much different.  He does well on pitches up and over the middle of the plate.  Pitches on the borders of the strike zone, not so much.

It appears that he is killing the inside pitch in the post season, a pitch that he can’t handle in the regular season. Is his approach different in the PS? Is he trying to pull everything?

Yeah, he does seem to be doing more on inside pitches (Updated graphic above), at least from the left side of the plate, which is in contrast to what’s he’s done in the regular season oddly enough.

Lohud’s lineup:

TIGERS
Austin Jackson CF
Don Kelly 3B
Delmon Young LF
Miguel Cabrera 1B
Victor Martinez DH
Magglio Ordonez RF
Alex Avila C
Jhonny Peralta SS
Ramon Santiago 2B

Don Kelly batting 2nd?!?

The Tigers really miss Boesch don’t they.

Sadly, Kelly is probably a step-up from their last couple of lineups, when Santiago was their #2 hitter.

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