The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:
 

Wednesday, June 27, 2012

Phil Hughes vs. Phil Hughes vs. Phil Hughes

Dates g ip bf h r er hr bb hbp so ra era fip xfip
04-08-12-04-25-12 4 16.0 81 24 18 14 5 6 2 17 10.13 7.88 6.44 4.50
05-01-12-05-28-12 6 36.7 157 39 19 19 7 7 1 32 4.66 4.66 4.39 4.01
06-03-12-06-26-12 5 33.7 132 28 10 10 7 8 0 32 2.67 2.67 4.51 3.77
Dates bb/bf k/bf babip ld% gb% fb% iffb% hr/fb% FBv
04-08-12-04-25-12 9.9% 21.0% .345 16.7% 28.3% 46.7% 8.3% 17.9% 91.8
05-01-12-05-28-12 5.1% 20.4% .283 17.5% 32.5% 46.7% 3.3% 12.5% 92.8
06-03-12-06-26-12 6.1% 24.2% .233 14.4% 32.0% 47.4% 6.2% 15.2% 92.7

fip: Fielding-independent pitching
xfip: Expected fielding-independent pitching
bb/bf: walks and hbp per batters faced
k/bf: strikeouts per batters faced
babip: Batting average on balls in play against
ld%: Percentage of batted balls that were line drives
gb%: Percentage of batted balls that were ground balls
fb%: Percentage of batted balls that were fly balls
iffb%: Percentage of batted balls that were infield flies
FBv: Average fastball velocity

 

--Posted at 9:30 am by SG / 25 Comments | - (0)

Comments

Page 1 of 1 pages:

At this point, I’m reasonably certain that Hughes is simply a rascal who delights in tormenting us.

Also, Puig the 20 y/o Cuban CF was declared a FA last night and can be signed as soon as the US Treasury says so, expect a flurry of news between now and Sunday.

Fool me once, shame on you. Fool me 11 times…?

Off-topic, but I wasn’t sure if anyone saw this video: http://www.mlb.com/cutfour/article.jsp?content_id=33986968

Just watching it from that angle..wow. What a shockingly bad call. No ball in the glove, and Wise didn’t even really make an attempt to deke the ump. AND the fan who did come up with the ball is holding it up about five feet from the ump’s face. I hope DiMuro is getting his head checked today.

[3] He admitted he blew the call after the game, so at least that happened.

Hughes is throwing his cutter less and less. Sportvision data has him throwing just one in all of June, and just 15 since the start of May (11 starts).

Opponents had a .608 wOBA against his cutter in 2011 and a HR/FB rate of 25.0%.
His cutter in 2012 has been even worse (53 P, .830 wOBA, 60% HR/FB).

Looks like he’s slowly faded it out of his repertoire over this season and it may be partly responsible for his improvement as of late.

[6] Shoot. I blame interleague play.

“Will miss 2 starts” = will never pitch again, right?

“Will miss 2 starts” = will never pitch again, right?

It means he retroactively will miss starts.

8 means will miss two years, don’t be so pessimistic.  He’ll be throwing off flat ground with Feliciano by 2014.

Fredo to pitch Friday. I love the idea of a guy who you don’t trust to pitch any meaningful innings suddenly pitching the most meaningful innings of a game.

damn you, interleague play.

Is Moyer still available? dang

Bold prediction: CC misses 3 weeks, comes back after all-star game.  Girardi wins manger of the year when Yanks finish with best record despite all the injuries.  White Sox beat Yankees in 1st round of playoffs, 3 games to 1.

[12] You really think Freddy is going to make it to the 8th?

Look, I know you guys are having fun and all, but there are specific rules against beating dead horses, no matter how important the flat ground World Series may be.

Speaking of horses, from the last thread, if you remove all of Hughes’ starts in which he did not suck, he has an 8.9 ERA over 8 starts and 31 1/3 innings.  I think that is much more telling than his ERA since April as well as being grounds for dismissal.

[0] FanGraphs has Hughes’s GB rate for year at 33.2%.  My math skills may be a bit rusty, but I’m pretty sure you can’t add up 3 numbers less than 33.2, divide by 3, and have 33.2 as the result…why the difference?  Different source for batted ball data, or did you do like Snuggles and use the wrong multiplier?

Not that 33.2% is anything to write home about, but it’s better than last year…

[18] Statcorner has Hughes GB% at 32.4, but it doesn’t look like that includes his last start.

[17] Looks like a mild muscle strain.  Sounds more like they are being cautious, and being on DL means he can miss All Star game too.  Not worried.

[12] I guess Phelps isn’t stretched out and they want to use Warren for one of CC’s starts.  Warren may require a 40-man move and also might not be on schedule to pitch in CC’s next start.  So I think Freddy gets one start and they go from there.

[19] Okay thanks.  Probably just using a different data source.  I think there are 3 sources now right?  STATS, BIS, and Gameday?  Is that correct?  Though Gameday may use one of the others I thought they were different.  Pretty sure it is still somewhat subjective what constitutes a GB.  For example, if the IF is playing in and the SS snags a ball just before it hits the ground it’s a LD, but if he’s a step back it’s a GB.  Etc.  We’re probably only talking the difference in 4 or 5 BIP here…

[0] FanGraphs has Hughes’s GB rate for year at 33.2%.

Then their game logs and their season totals don’t match.  According to the game logs he’s allowed 87 GB, 130 FB, 45 LD and 15 IFFB.  87 / 277 = 31.4%.

It’s not a missing last night’s game issue either, since if you remove yesterday his GB% drops to 30.6%.

edit: Looks like the totals are correct in the season stat line, but not the percentages.  If I take out HRs his GB% goes to 33.7% so it’s still not right, plus I have no idea why you’d do that.

[22] Okay thanks!  Two possibilities are they use different datasets for the numbers (bad) or there’s a bug in their code (also bad)...

Looks like they aren’t including IFFB in the season percentages.  If I remove those I get 33.2% GB.

[24] Thanks.  Wonder why they would do that…I had thought that IFFB was - to a point - a repeatable skill.  I wonder if it is because that can be very park dependent based on amount of foul territory, and they felt it was easier than trying to park adjust?

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