Wednesday, March 31, 2010
Looking Ahead to 2010 - Position Player Wrapup
Unfortunately I didn’t really get to finish these up in the detail I’d like to due to time constraints, so I’ll consolidate these into a few more posts, one for the position player wrap up, one for the starting pitchers, one for the relievers and then one final one for the whole team.The table below just shows a rough estimate of projected playing time for the starters and the guys I think will be the primary bench players, and their projected outs and batting runs in each of the projection systems I've been using for these previews.
caOuts/caBR: cairo projected outs and linear weights batting runs for estimated PA
chOuts/chBR: chone projected outs and linear weights batting runs for estimated PA
mOuts/mBR: marcel projected outs and linear weights batting runs for estimated PA
oOuts/oBR: oliver projected outs and linear weights batting runs for estimated PA
pOuts/pBR: pecota projected outs and linear weights batting runs for estimated PA
zOuts/zBR: zips projected outs and linear weights batting runs for estimated PA
aOuts/aBR: average projected outs and linear weights batting runs for estimated PA
Team outs should add up to 4100 so keep that in mind when looking at each individual system. The systems that show more than 4100 outs would predict a few runs less than shown and the systems that show fewer than 4100 outs would predict a few more runs than shown, but the average is fairly close. 880 runs is about 15 runs fewer than the average projection showed in the Diamond Mind projection blowout, but that looks like it's due to slight differences in the playing time of some of the players compared to these.
If the Yankees can get a few more PA out of Nick Johnson and Jorge Posada, they should be able to get up to around 900 runs.
Defensively, the Yankees should look like this roughly.
RS are runs saved compared to average using an average of zone rating and UZR.
While it's likely more players than those on the original opening day roster will see time defensively, none of the players that would fall into that group have defensive projections that I'd feel comfortable using so I'm not going to include them here. The infield looks a bit below average and the outfield looks like they should be pretty decent. Overall, they could be around average as a unit, which would be nice.
I'm pretty sure this is the best group of position players in baseball on paper, so barring injury and/or worse than expected decline they should do their part to make the Yankees a mid-90s win team. Will the pitching staff be up to the task? That's a question for the next two posts.
Next entry: ESPN: Yankees to start Granderson at CF