Monday, July 23, 2012
The Yankees have acquired Ichiro Suzuki for RHPs DJ Mitchell and Danny Fahrquar, a source said. Yanks also get undisclosed cash in deal.
Projections to follow once I change the underlying assumptions to make Ichiro look better.
OK, that’s done.
Here is how CAIRO had Ichiro! projected entering the season.
So far he’s hit .261/.288/.353 in 423 PA, which a hair better than his 20% forecast in terms of wOBA. His baseline projection as a Yankee would have been ..310/.351/.397.
We don’t really care about what he’s done this year aside from how it may inform his projection going forward. CAIRO says something like .295/.332/.384 over the rest of the year. ZiPS is harsher at .273/.309/.348 but that’s in Seattle which probably shrinks the gap a fair amount. Suzuki actually has been a bit better vs. LHP than RHP in his career, but that’s not been the case this year ( .236/.242/.267 vs. LHP and .278/.318/.411 vs. RHP).
He’s a better defensive OF than Raul Ibanez (then again, I may be) and probably Andruw Jones, and he can still run pretty well. The Yankees are probably hoping moving into a pennant race revives him a bit, and they didn’t give up anything significant in taking the gamble.
Seems like a meh move, but I suppose it’s something.
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