Thursday, December 9, 2010
2011 CAIRO Projections v0.2
Based on the flurry of recent activity, I figured it was time for an update from CAIRO v0.1, so here it is. Click the link in the preceding sentence if you want to know more about how CAIRO works.
The only changes from v0.1 were moving players to their new teams where applicable up through today’s Rule 5 draft, and fixing a few players who weren’t listed at their correct position.
Since it came up at a site that was looking at the projections, the projection as shown is NOT projecting playing time. It’s just a weighted average of the player’s past playing time with a slight downward adjustment for players older than 30. When projecting 8000 professional ball players, manually adjusting their playing time is not something I (or any forecaster) wants to do.
At some point when rosters are more stable I may or may not work on depth charts, but for now feel free to adjust these projections based on whatever playing time you want to assume for any specific player.
If I missed anyone or if anything looks weird let me know.
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