Tuesday, March 30, 2010

2010 Diamond Mind Projection Blowout - CHONE Edition

Developed by Sean Smith who makes it available on Baseball Projection.com, CHONE has consistently tested as one of the best projection systems for the last few seasons, and it's completely free.

Projection	chone
Date	3/30/10
Iterations	100,000
American League
TM	W	L	StdW	RS	RA	Div	WC	W+/-	RS+/-	RA+/-
Yankees	95.2	66.8	84 - 105	902	747	38.1%	22.9%	-7.8	-13	-6
Red Sox	93.8	68.2	83 - 103	822	690	35.7%	20.3%	-1.2	-50	-46
Rays	87.2	74.8	76 - 97	815	744	19.1%	16.5%	3.2	12	-10
Orioles	76.6	85.4	66 - 87	785	819	6.3%	4.7%	12.6	44	-57
Blue Jays	65.5	96.5	54 - 76	687	816	0.9%	1.1%	-9.5	-111	45
TM	W	L	StdW	RS	RA	Div	WC	W+/-	RS+/-	RA+/-
Twins	84.9	77.1	74 - 95	829	801	32.8%	5.2%	-2.1	12	36
Indians	81.8	80.2	71 - 92	816	816	25.1%	4.7%	16.8	43	-49
White Sox	80.2	81.8	69 - 90	757	777	20.3%	4.8%	1.2	33	45
Tigers	75.3	86.7	64 - 85	729	792	11.4%	2.5%	-10.7	-14	47
Royals	74.1	87.9	63 - 84	725	790	10.4%	3.1%	9.1	39	-52
TM	W	L	StdW	RS	RA	Div	WC	W+/-	RS+/-	RA+/-
Rangers	84.4	77.6	73 - 94	775	753	35.9%	3.6%	-2.6	-9	13
Athletics	79.5	82.5	68 - 90	739	751	23.5%	3.9%	4.5	-20	-10
Angels	78.6	83.4	68 - 89	762	791	20.9%	3.6%	-6.4	-121	30
Mariners	77.8	84.2	67 - 88	719	745	19.6%	3.2%	-19.2	79	53
National League
TM	W	L	StdW	RS	RA	Div	WC	W+/-	RS+/-	RA+/-
Phillies	89.1	72.9	78 - 99	835	756	35.8%	11.1%	-3.9	15	47
Braves	89.1	72.9	78 - 99	815	730	35.6%	11.3%	2.1	80	89
Marlins	77.2	84.8	66 - 87	782	813	10.4%	3.8%	-8.8	10	47
Mets	77.2	84.8	66 - 87	803	834	11.1%	3.5%	7.2	132	77
Nationals	73.8	88.2	63 - 84	743	810	7.1%	3.0%	14.8	33	-64
TM	W	L	StdW	RS	RA	Div	WC	W+/-	RS+/-	RA+/-
Cardinals	90.0	72.0	79 - 100	770	690	37.7%	11.1%	-1.0	40	50
Reds	82.7	79.3	72 - 93	765	764	19.3%	7.7%	2.7	92	41
Brewers	82.2	79.8	71 - 92	783	779	19.4%	6.8%	4.2	-2	-39
Cubs	78.9	83.1	68 - 89	752	779	12.1%	6.0%	-4.1	45	107
Pirates	76.0	86.0	65 - 86	730	790	7.5%	4.3%	2.0	94	22
Astros	70.2	91.8	59 - 80	685	786	3.9%	2.2%	8.2	42	16
TM	W	L	StdW	RS	RA	Div	WC	W+/-	RS+/-	RA+/-
Dodgers	85.8	76.2	75 - 96	782	733	30.3%	7.8%	-9.2	2	122
Diamondbacks	83.1	78.9	83 - 93	738	718	22.3%	6.2%	-4.9	18	-64
Rockies	82.4	79.6	82 - 92	803	787	20.1%	5.4%	-9.6	-1	72
Giants	78.9	83.1	78 - 89	711	729	13.2%	5.3%	3.9	54	118
Padres	78.4	83.6	78 - 88	705	734	14.1%	4.6%	8.4	67	-35

W: Projected 2010 wins
L: Projected 2010 losses
RS: Projected 2010 runs scored
RA: Projected 2010 runs allowed
Div: Division win percentage
WC: Wild card win percentage
W+/-: 2010 projected wins minus 2009 actual wins
RS+/-: 2010 projected runs scored minus 2009 actual runs scored
(positive means they are projected to score more)
RA+/-: 2010 projected runs allowed minus 2009 actual runs allowed (negative means they are projected to allow fewer)
StD W: Wins within one standard deviation

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