Replacement Level Yankees Weblog
The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:

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Yankees (56-42) @ Rangers (47-51) , Tuesday July 28, 2015 , 8:05 PM
(117 Comments - 7/29/2015 6:59:22 am)

NY Post: Samardzija? Price? Rival execs insist Yankees will land pitcher
(81 Comments - 7/28/2015 8:28:39 pm)

Yankees (55-42) @ Rangers (47-50) , Monday July 27, 2015 , 8:05 PM
(103 Comments - 7/28/2015 10:54:09 am)

CAIRO’s updated 2015 Final Projected Standings and Postseason Odds as of July 27
(53 Comments - 7/27/2015 5:06:14 pm)

Yankees (54-42) @ Twins (52-45) , Sunday July 26, 2015 , 2:10 PM
(73 Comments - 7/27/2015 3:17:29 am)

NY Times: Alex Rodriguez’s Three Home Runs Help Yankees Rally to Stun the Twins
(11 Comments - 7/26/2015 2:14:54 pm)

Yankees (53-42) @ Twins (52-44) , Saturday July 25, 2015 , 7:10 PM
(40 Comments - 7/26/2015 6:14:53 am)

Yankees (53-41) @ Twins (51-44) , Friday July 24, 2015 , 8:10 PM
(41 Comments - 7/25/2015 5:56:45 pm)

NY Post: One big challenge the surging Yankees still must overcome
(34 Comments - 7/24/2015 9:22:23 pm)

Orioles (46-47) @ Yankees (52-41) , Thursday July 23, 2015 , 1:05 PM
(66 Comments - 7/24/2015 3:02:41 am)

Look what people have to say about the RLYW!

CAIRO just takes the Marcels and changes the underlying assumptions and components in a bunch of ways that make the Yankees look better.

Wow, two stupid posts in one day. I think you’ve reached your yearly quota.

I don’t know if any of you current posters were around for that, but if so, I just can’t understand how you can call yourselves Yankee fans. Pathetic quitters is what you sounded like. Of the lame posts I could stand to read, the only person who had any confidence in the Yankees at that point was a (yeesh) Red Sox fan.
Jeter is King

Quite the attitude you have SG. Maybe you should shitcan this blog and join Steve at WasWatching? Or follow some other stupid team that has made the PS 15 of the last 17 years. Jeez… and some people think Yankee fans are entitled.

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Disclaimer: If you think this is the official website of the New York Yankees, you're an idiot. Go away.

Tuesday, July 21, 2015

Orioles (46-45) @ Yankees (50-41) , Tuesday July 21, 2015 , 7:05 PM

Orioles: Wei-Yin Chen (L) (110 IP, 2.78 ERA, 4.20 FIP) vs. Yankees: Nathan Eovaldi (R) (98 IP, 4.50 ERA, 3.53 FIP)

1. Manny Machado (R) 3B: (.300/.367/.531)
2. Jimmy Paredes (S) DH: (.294/.326/.463)
3. Adam Jones (R) CF: (.291/.333/.503)
4. Chris Davis (L) RF: (.238/.320/.463)
5. Matt Wieters (S) C: (.258/.282/.443)
6. J.J. Hardy (R) SS: (.229/.263/.332)
7. Travis Snider (L) LF: (.255/.332/.370)
8. Jonathan Schoop (R) 2B: (.305/.339/.661)
9. Chris Parmelee (L) 1B: (.238/.273/.488)

1. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF: (.302/.383/.357)
2. Brett Gardner (L) LF: (.300/.378/.477)
3. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.277/.378/.515)
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B: (.249/.358/.539)
5. Brian McCann (L) C: (.255/.325/.468)
6. Chris Young (R) RF: (.251/.303/.470)
7. Chase Headley (S) 3B: (.256/.311/.373)
8. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.236/.289/.324)
9. Brendan Ryan (R) 2B: (.308/.400/.462)

I had no idea Rtan was having such a good year.

--Posted at 2:39 pm by SG / 55 Comments | - (0) It was in Yankees’ ‘best interest’ to demote Rob Refsnyder, Brian Cashman says

Specifically, Cashman said, designating either Drew or Ryan for assignment — effectively cutting ties with the player — could have left the Yankees exposed and limited their options.

“It’s in our best interest currently to keep all assets in play,” he said. “I can send Rob down. I can always get him back. If I had designated somebody, the landscape changes. I felt like it was in our best interest.”

Cashman said Refsnyder’s promotion was never about a long-term solution. When the team added him July 11 in Boston, it wanted to give the team “the best chance to win” against the two left-handed starting pitchers the Red Sox were slated to pit against the Yankees.

Yes, cutting ties with Rtan would have left the Yankees exposed and limited their options.

--Posted at 10:34 am by SG / 18 Comments | - (0)

Sunday, July 19, 2015

Yankees,com: Teixeira’s go-ahead shot spurs Yanks over M’s

Mark Teixeira belted his 23rd home run of the season over the right-field fence for a go-ahead shot that lifted the Yankees to a 2-1 victory over the Mariners on Sunday at Yankee Stadium.

The Mariners got on the board first when Austin Jackson’s single to center field scored Jesus Montero in the fifth, but the Yankees responded in the sixth when Carlos Beltran singled to left field to bring home Brett Gardner to knot the game. The score stayed tied until the eighth when Teixeira clinched the series for the Yanks, who won Friday but lost Saturday. With the homer, Teixeira eclipsed the 22 long balls he tallied in all of 2014.

“Any time you get in that part of the order, you feel really good that anyone can pop one, and Tex had a big day,” Yankees manager Joe Girardi said. “He was part of our two runs today, made some outstanding plays—Nelson Cruz in the eighth inning. Just a big day from Tex.”

What a victory! A big series coming up with Baltimore now after an off day.

While this was quite a win, I must throw in one minor complaint, which is that with the offense being so poor, it seems weird to make, in effect, a Refsnyder/Rtan trade.

--Posted at 10:18 pm by Brian Cronin / 63 Comments | - (0)

Friday, July 17, 2015

Mariners (41-48) @ Yankees (48-40) , Friday July 17, 2015 , 7:05 PM

Mariners: Mike Montgomery (L) (55 IP ,2.29 ERA, 3.66 FIP) vs. Yankees: Masahiro Tanaka (R) (67 IP ,3.63 ERA, 3.60 FIP)

1. Brad Miller (L) SS: (.247/.322/.413)
2. Kyle Seager (L) 3B: (.269/.329/.438)
3. Robinson Cano (L) 2B: (.251/.290/.370)
4. Nelson Cruz (R) DH: (.308/.373/.546)
5. Seth Smith (L) RF: (.268/.338/.477)
6. Austin Jackson (R) CF: (.251/.295/.355)
7. Dustin Ackley (L) LF: (.221/.280/.378)
8. Logan Morrison (L) 1B: (.229/.300/.385)
9. Mike Zunino (R) C: (.160/.223/.292)

1. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF: (.318/.399/.376)
2. Brett Gardner (L) LF: (.302/.377/.484)
3. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.278/.382/.515)
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B: (.240/.350/.526)
5. Brian McCann (L) C: (.259/.331/.471)
6. Chris Young (R) RF: (.248/.301/.452)
7. Chase Headley (S) 3B: (.255/.310/.373)
8. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.238/.293/.326)
9. Rob Refsnyder (R) 2B: (.286/.286/.714)

I have a bad feeling Cano is going to get going in this series.

--Posted at 2:53 pm by SG / 105 Comments | - (0)

NYDN: Harper: For Yankees pitching prospect Luis Severino, the time to see him is now

There are other questions pertinent to a possible trade: do the Yankees truly believe Sabathia will ever figure out how to pitch effectively with his reduced velocity? Or do they see his 5.47 ERA as an indication of what he is now?

Similarly, has a half-season of watching hitters tattoo Eovaldi’s 98-mph fastball convince them he’ll never get over the hump and become a dependable starter?

Finally, there is perhaps the most intriguing question of all: Do they think Severino, who has a 1.95 ERA after nine Triple-A starts, will be ready for the big leagues over the next several weeks?

Cashman’s history says it’s more likely he’ll make a deal for a Brandon McCarthy type as he did last year.

But if the move is not going to be for a difference-maker, perhaps the margin for error the Yankee bullpen provides would convince the GM to give Severino a shot instead.

That might be enough for this team. As long as it continues to defy the age-and-injury odds, which almost nobody thought was possible.

I’m not sure how many innings the Yankees are willing to give Severino this year, which I feel makes it very unlikely he will make significant starts down the stretch for the MLB time.  But who knows? 

--Posted at 8:49 am by SG / 22 Comments | - (0)

Thursday, July 16, 2015

USA Today: Yankees sign 1st-round pick James Kaprielian

NEW YORK (AP) — The New York Yankees have signed former UCLA right-hander James Kaprielian, the 16th overall pick in the June draft.

Kaprielian agreed to a minor league contract Wednesday with a $2.65 million signing bonus.

I missed this yesterday.

I wonder if he can get into the rotation by August?

--Posted at 2:50 pm by SG / 15 Comments | - (0)

NY Post: How prospect supply will shape Yankees’ trade deadline

Johnny Cueto, Cole Hamels and Justin Upton are viewed as the holy trinity of the upcoming trade market. They currently project as the most talented players almost certain to be dealt to contenders before 4 p.m. on July 31.

Big-game hunting history will be cited as why the Yankees should not be counted out on any of the major pieces.

But if history is our guide, the Yankees only have made one trade in the past 10 Julys that involved them giving up an elite prospect — and that trade did not even get consummated. In early July 2010, the Yankees agreed to include Jesus Montero as the key piece of a three-prospect deal with Seattle for Cliff Lee. But one of the secondary cogs, David Adams, did not pass the Mariners’ physical review, the Yankees refused to include Eduardo Nunez or Ivan Nova in his place and Lee ultimately was moved to Texas.

Besides that, Brian Cashman has followed a similar script in July: 1) Think about deepening/strengthening the overall roster rather than swinging big for superstars; 2) Use the Yankees’ financial might to take on contracts that other teams want to get rid of and, in exchange, lower the prospect asking price; 3) Part with prospects from areas of perceived organizational depth.

Last July was essentially a road map. The Yankees deployed all or some combination of those principles to land Brandon McCarthy, Chase Headley, Martin Prado and Stephen Drew. But go through the last decade. It is the same process, whether the haul was Alfonso Soriano or Ichiro Suzuki or Lance Berkman or Kerry Wood or Bobby Abreu. The closest the Yankees have come to actually dealing a well-regarded prospect was in July 2008 when they obtained Xavier Nady and Damaso Marte from Pittsburgh and included in return Jose Tabata. But by then Tabata had lost some luster in the Yankees organization, getting leap-frogged as an outfield prospect by Austin Jackson.

There are really three prospects I hope the Yankees don’t consider trading.  Aaron Judge, Luis Severino and Greg Bird.  Anyone other that I’d be fine with depending on the return.  I think Sherman is right, they’ll look for marginal upgrades that won’t cost an arm and a leg.  But this year they really have their most legitimate chance at winning the division for the first time since 2012 and may decide to be a bit more aggressive in pursuing a difference-maker.

Or they could just take CC Sabathia out of the rotation and improve themselves by a couple of wins without giving up anything except money that’s already gone…

--Posted at 7:47 am by SG / 33 Comments | - (0)

Tuesday, July 14, 2015

NY Post: Time’s running out for Yankees to sign Boras-repped 1st-rounder

BOSTON — By 5 p.m. Friday, James Kaprielian and the Yankees have to have a contract signed or the first-round pick will no longer be able to negotiate with the club.

Kaprielian, the right-hander from UCLA the Yankees took with the 16th pick in June’s draft, is being advised by agent Scott Boras.

“We are negotiating. I hope we get it done,’’ amateur scouting director Damon Oppenheimer said Sunday.

Texas high school outfielder Trent Clark, taken by the Brewers with the 15th pick, signed for $2.7 million. Florida lefty Brady Aiken was taken with the 17th selection by the Indians and signed for $2.513 million.

If Kaprielian doesn’t sign with the Yankees he can return to UCLA for his senior year or go the Independent League route.

I didn’t love this draft pick anyway, but not signing him would really make it a bad one.

--Posted at 9:17 am by SG / 91 Comments | - (0)

Monday, July 13, 2015

NY Times: Alex Rodriguez and Rob Refsnyder Send Yankees Into All-Star Break on a High

After an off-season with so many uncertainties — the health of the No. 1 starter Masahiro Tanaka and other important players, the infusion of young prospects into an aging lineup, the capability of the bullpen to close games — the one Girardi mentioned first on Sunday was Rodriguez.

Girardi and the Yankees’ higher-ups were not going to blindly grant Rodriguez, who had missed more than 86 percent of the Yankees’ games during the past two seasons because of an injury and a suspension, a significant role without receiving something in return for the distraction he would bring.

“In the opening day lineup,” Girardi said, “I believe he was seventh.” Girardi was right — Rodriguez, batting two spots from the bottom of the order, was 1 for 2 with a walk — but Rodriguez climbed from there.

The Yankees have used Rodriguez primarily as a designated hitter; he has started only three games in the field, twice at third base, once at first. That has helped reduce the toll on Rodriguez’s body as he nears 40.

Girardi said he was not surprised that Rodriguez’s teammates had welcomed him back, even as vitriol from opposing fans had inevitably emerged. Outside Fenway on Sunday, a street vendor was selling gray T-shirts that read “A*Rod,” a suggestion that an asterisk belonged next to his statistics, and prominently featured two crossing syringes. And inside the stadium, the fans booed him, heavily, every time he walked to the plate, rounded the bases or did pretty much anything else.

“I think he understood where he was at, what he was going to go through,” Girardi said.

The Yankees enter the All Star Break in sole possession of first place, with Rob Refsnyder finally cracking the lineup, and with a fairly healthy team, and are getting contributions from players like Rodriguez and Mark Teixeira that far exceeded expectations.  Instead of the below .500 team I had them projected as heading into the year, they look significantly better than that.  Given the general parity in the American League right now, barring a major stumble they should be in the thick of postseason contention for the rest of the season.

That’s not to say that they can’t stumble.  It wouldn’t take much more than a handful of injuries to their front-line performers to really hurt them, but you can probably say that about every team.

At the very least, the last stretch of the season should be very interesting.

--Posted at 7:30 am by SG / 77 Comments | - (0)

Sunday, July 12, 2015

Yankees (47-40) @ Red Sox (42-46) , Sunday July 12, 2015 , 1:35 PM

Yankees: Nathan Eovaldi (R) (93 IP ,4.45 ERA, 3.65 FIP) vs. Red Sox: Wade Miley (L) (96 IP ,4.50 ERA, 3.89 FIP)

1. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF: (.327/.410/.388)
2. Brett Gardner (L) LF: (.300/.377/.486)
3. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.279/.384/.516)
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B: (.240/.351/.530)
5. Chris Young (R) RF: (.248/.302/.451)
6. Brian McCann (L) C: (.255/.329/.454)
7. Chase Headley (S) 3B: (.251/.305/.367)
8. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.242/.297/.331)
9. Rob Refsnyder (R) 2B: (.000/.000/.000)

Red Sox:
1. Mookie Betts (R) CF: (.278/.330/.467)
2. Brock Holt (L) 2B: (.293/.379/.414)
3. Xander Bogaerts (R) SS: (.302/.337/.412)
4. Pablo Sandoval (S) 3B: (.266/.308/.388)
5. Hanley Ramirez (R) DH: (.272/.318/.495)
6. Alejandro De Aza (L) LF: (.315/.357/.576)
7. Shane Victorino (R) RF: (.243/.346/.314)
8. Travis Shaw (L) 1B: (.231/.286/.231)
9. Ryan Hanigan (R) C: (.233/.367/.301)

I thought these games were contractually obligated to be at 8 pm?

--Posted at 11:58 am by SG / 81 Comments | - (0)

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