Replacement Level Yankees Weblog
The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:

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MLB Trade Rumors: Yankees Pursuing Craig Kimbrel; Astros Interested As Well
(13 Comments - 7/31/2015 11:19:00 am)

Yankees (57-43) @ Rangers (48-52) , Thursday July 30, 2015 , 8:05 PM
(155 Comments - 7/31/2015 9:25:01 am)

MLB Trade Rumors: Yankees Acquire Dustin Ackley
(30 Comments - 7/30/2015 8:17:07 pm)

MLB Trade Rumors: Yankees To Place Michael Pineda On DL With Forearm Injury
(40 Comments - 7/30/2015 7:58:38 pm)

NY Times: Yankees and Cashman Remain Quiet as Trade Deadline Nears
(42 Comments - 7/30/2015 4:42:30 pm)

Yankees (57-42) @ Rangers (47-52) , Wednesday July 29, 2015 , 8:05 PM
(98 Comments - 7/30/2015 1:21:03 pm)

CBS Sports: Yankees have 11-run inning, end with 21 runs: By the numbers
(59 Comments - 7/29/2015 6:19:55 pm)

Yankees (56-42) @ Rangers (47-51) , Tuesday July 28, 2015 , 8:05 PM
(119 Comments - 7/29/2015 9:06:53 am)

NY Post: Samardzija? Price? Rival execs insist Yankees will land pitcher
(81 Comments - 7/28/2015 8:28:39 pm)

Yankees (55-42) @ Rangers (47-50) , Monday July 27, 2015 , 8:05 PM
(103 Comments - 7/28/2015 10:54:09 am)

Look what people have to say about the RLYW!

CAIRO just takes the Marcels and changes the underlying assumptions and components in a bunch of ways that make the Yankees look better.

Wow, two stupid posts in one day. I think you’ve reached your yearly quota.

I don’t know if any of you current posters were around for that, but if so, I just can’t understand how you can call yourselves Yankee fans. Pathetic quitters is what you sounded like. Of the lame posts I could stand to read, the only person who had any confidence in the Yankees at that point was a (yeesh) Red Sox fan.
Jeter is King

Quite the attitude you have SG. Maybe you should shitcan this blog and join Steve at WasWatching? Or follow some other stupid team that has made the PS 15 of the last 17 years. Jeez… and some people think Yankee fans are entitled.

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Tuesday, July 7, 2015

Athletics (38-47) @ Yankees (44-38) , Tuesday July 7, 2015 , 7:05 PM

Athletics: Sonny Gray (R) (107.2 IP, 2.09 ERA, 2.66 FIP) vs. Yankees: Nathan Eovaldi (R) (87.2 IP, 4.52 ERA, 3.75 FIP)

1. Billy Burns (S) CF: (.318/.356/.424)
2. Stephen Vogt (L) C: (.290/.380/.502)
3. Ben Zobrist (S) LF: (.267/.354/.450)
4. Josh Reddick (L) RF: (.288/.346/.463)
5. Billy Butler (R) DH: (.250/.316/.365)
6. Ike Davis (L) 1B: (.264/.331/.414)
7. Brett Lawrie (R) 3B: (.291/.329/.425)
8. Eric Sogard (L) 2B: (.256/.298/.293)
9. Marcus Semien (R) SS: (.260/.308/.399)

1. Brett Gardner (L) CF: (.297/.373/.481)
2. Chase Headley (S) 3B: (.254/.307/.373)
3. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.284/.390/.513)
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B: (.243/.356/.532)
5. Brian McCann (L) C: (.261/.332/.471)
6. Garrett Jones (L) RF: (.229/.278/.407)
7. Chris Young (R) LF: (.250/.298/.464)
8. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.242/.296/.329)
9. Stephen Drew (L) 2B: (.178/.251/.364)

--Posted at 3:07 pm by SG / 70 Comments | - (0)

WSJ: Brett Gardner Doing Things the Yankee Way

Gardner, on the other hand, is a homegrown eight-year Yankee who is universally respected throughout baseball. And he is in the middle of a breakout season, hitting .297 with nine home runs, 21 doubles, 60 runs scored, 15 steals and a career-high .854 on-base plus slugging percentage splitting time between left and centerfield.

For all these reasons, when the Yankees have been struggling, Gardner has most often played the role of team spokesman, explaining what has gone wrong and what needs to be done to fix it.

Inside the clubhouse, the 31-year-old South Carolina native is playing the same role. Garrett Jones, who became close to Gardner quickly after joining the team this spring, was immediately struck by the respect that the outfielder commanded from his fellow Yankees, and how he used it to help them.

“As far as leadership on the field, in the clubhouse and off the field, he’s just a good guy, a good teammate, a good human being—he helps out anyone who needs it, you can go out up to him and talk to him about anything at any time,” Jones said.


Gardner really deserves to be on the All Star Team, although I would be surprised if he wins the final man vote, especially with a KC Royal among the candidates.  But he’s having a very good year, and has been the most valuable player on a team that’s playing far better than I expected them to in 2015.

--Posted at 7:39 am by SG / 28 Comments | - (0)

Monday, July 6, 2015

The 30: Sabathia’s Sunk Cost

Jonah Kerri spotlights four over-30 players having awful years, from Robinson Cano to Matt Kemp to CC Sabathia to Jimmy Rollins.

The part of the article on Sabathia is very interesting. Here’s an excerpt:

Here are CC Sabathia’s ERA and xFIP over the past five seasons:

2011 3.00 3.02
2012 3.38 3.20
2013 4.78 3.76
2014 5.28 3.11
2015 5.59 3.50

One stat shows a pitcher in spectacular decline; the other shows a pitcher who might’ve lost a little from age 30 to age 34, but not enough to freak out over. So what should we believe?

What xFIP attempts to quantify is how a pitcher fares once you (a) strip out the impact of defense, and (b) normalize his home run rate. That second point has always been a little problematic. Yes, a couple of gusts of wind here or there can make a dent in a pitcher’s home run rate, or more precisely his home-run-per-fly-ball rate. Sabathia was supernaturally consistent in his HR/FB rate throughout his prime, never going lower than 7.4 percent or higher than 8.8 percent from 2006 through 2011. Seeing those figures shoot up to a career-worst 23.3 percent last year and 18.1 percent this season (highest in the AL) might make you look at Sabathia’s poor results as some kind of fluke.

Thing is, we’ve now got PITCHf/x stats and batted-ball stats to help us better understand how and why a pitcher might succeed or fail. And in Sabathia’s case, it’s simple: The fearsome lefty who used to fire mid-90s heat with regularity is now throwing something closer to a batting-practice fastball, and hitters are feasting on it, whacking that pitch at a .355 clip in 2015.

The Yankees are aware of Sabathia’s fall from grace, an outlier stat or two — Sabathia has continued to pound the strike zone and ranks eighth in the AL in strikeout-to-walk ratio — be damned. Nobody is taking the roughly $62 million left on Sabathia’s contract (or $42 million if his 2017 option doesn’t vest), and GM Brian Cashman has been around long enough to understand the concept of sunk costs. Thanks to the franchise’s wealth, the Yanks can make a simple decision based on talent alone: Should they send one of the most decorated pitchers in team history to the bullpen (or a wink-wink DL stint) and shop for a better option via trade? Or should they ride it out and hope that the big lefty rediscovers his lost abilities?

--Posted at 12:05 pm by Brian Cronin / 34 Comments | - (0)

NY Post: Yankees, Mets make unfortunate history in All-Star starters vote

It has been more than two decades since there was an All-Star Game without either a Yankee or a Met in the starting lineup — a streak that will end this year in Cincinnati.
David Cone was the lone Mets representative in that 1992 game and was joined by Yankees outfielder Roberto Kelly.

And while Cone was focused more on the fact he thought he might be traded that season, he does recall it being unusual to have such a lack of a New York presence.

“It was different,” Cone said. “But the Yankees were in their rough patch at that time, and we were kind of at the end of our run. You could see that coming.”

The difference this time around, according to Cone, is there are some legitimate candidates — especially in The Bronx.

“You’ve got [Mark Teixeira], [Brett] Gardner, [Brian] McCann, [Dellin] Betances,” Cone said after broadcasting Sunday’s 8-1 loss to the Rays at the Stadium for YES. “Back then, I don’t know that you could have pointed to any potential snubs.”

Has anyone checked in with Brian C. to make sure he’s ok?

Brett Gardner is tied for 10th in the AL in bWAR by position players, but there are four outfielders ahead of him so I don’t know that I’d really consider him a snub.  Hopefully he makes it as a reserve.

--Posted at 8:04 am by SG / 9 Comments | - (0)

Sunday, July 5, 2015

Rays (42-41) @ Yankees (44-37) , Sunday July 5, 2015 , 1:05 PM

Rays: Erasmo Ramirez (R) (67.1 IP, 4.01 ERA, 3.67 FIP) vs. Yankees: Ivan Nova (R) (12 IP, 1.50 ERA, 4.92 FIP)

1. Asdrubal Cabrera (S) SS: (.225/.281/.354)
2. David DeJesus (L) LF: (.267/.322/.390)
3. Evan Longoria (R) DH: (.274/.350/.413)
4. James Loney (L) 1B: (.282/.323/.376)
5. Logan Forsythe (R) 2B: (.282/.368/.429)
6. Steven Souza Jr. (R) RF: (.213/.301/.422)
7. Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF: (.251/.286/.411)
8. Jake Elmore (R) 3B: (.221/.268/.319)
9. Curt Casali (R) C: (.261/.292/.478)

1. Brett Gardner (L) CF: (.299/.371/.485)
2. Chase Headley (S) 3B: (.254/.307/.371)
3. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.284/.388/.504)
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B: (.246/.358/.538)
5. Brian McCann (L) C: (.264/.333/.477)
6. Garrett Jones (L) RF: (.228/.279/.404)
7. Chris Young (R) LF: (.254/.299/.471)
8. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.246/.300/.335)
9. Stephen Drew (L) 2B: (.179/.253/.368)

--Posted at 10:25 am by SG / 17 Comments | - (0)

Saturday, July 4, 2015

Rays (42-40) @ Yankees (43-37) , Saturday July 4, 2015 , 1:05 PM

Rays: Nathan Karns (R) (91 IP ,3.26 ERA, 3.78 FIP) vs. Yankees: Michael Pineda (R) (92.2 IP ,4.08 ERA, 2.72 FIP)

1. Grady Sizemore (L) DH: (.275/.310/.358)
2. Joey Butler (R) LF: (.306/.352/.461)
3. Evan Longoria (R) 3B: (.275/.351/.415)
4. James Loney (L) 1B: (.274/.317/.372)
5. Steven Souza Jr. (R) RF: (.208/.299/.409)
6. Asdrubal Cabrera (S) SS: (.225/.282/.351)
7. Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF: (.254/.287/.415)
8. Jake Elmore (R) 2B: (.229/.277/.330)
9. Curt Casali (R) C: (.250/.286/.450)

1. Brett Gardner (L) CF: (.300/.373/.488)
2. Chase Headley (S) 3B: (.253/.305/.372)
3. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.284/.390/.508)
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B: (.245/.359/.537)
5. Garrett Jones (L) RF: (.225/.277/.396)
6. Ramon Flores (L) LF: (.241/.241/.276)
7. John Ryan Murphy (R) C: (.250/.293/.338)
8. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.245/.300/.335)
9. Stephen Drew (L) 2B: (.181/.252/.371)

--Posted at 10:31 am by SG / 39 Comments | - (0)

Friday, July 3, 2015

Rays (42-39) @ Yankees (42-37) , Friday July 3, 2015 , 7:05 PM

Rays: Chris Archer (R) (109 IP ,2.31 ERA, 2.46 FIP) vs. Yankees: Masahiro Tanaka (R) (53.1 IP ,3.88 ERA, 4.04 FIP)

1. Grady Sizemore (L) DH: (.259/.295/.336)
2. Joey Butler (R) RF: (.314/.358/.474)
3. Evan Longoria (R) 3B: (.272/.350/.412)
4. James Loney (L) 1B: (.275/.322/.376)
5. Logan Forsythe (R) 2B: (.286/.370/.435)
6. David DeJesus (L) LF: (.264/.321/.389)
7. Asdrubal Cabrera (S) SS: (.224/.280/.353)
8. Kevin Kiermaier (L) CF: (.251/.285/.408)
9. Rene Rivera (R) C: (.163/.201/.276)

1. Brett Gardner (L) CF: (.304/.373/.495)
2. Chase Headley (S) 3B: (.252/.305/.372)
3. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.280/.381/.506)
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B: (.242/.356/.528)
5. Brian McCann (L) C: (.265/.333/.470)
6. Garrett Jones (L) RF: (.231/.278/.407)
7. Chris Young (R) LF: (.261/.303/.484)
8. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.240/.290/.326)
9. Stephen Drew (L) 2B: (.183/.254/.374)

--Posted at 3:13 pm by SG / 62 Comments | - (0)

TGS NY: Jacoby Ellsbury won’t be back Friday

New York Yankees GM Brian Cashman said Jacoby Ellsbury will not come off the disabled list on Friday night against the Rays at Yankee Stadium.

Ellsbury did not play Thursday in his scheduled rehab game in Clearwater, Florida. It was the second game in the past four that Ellsbury missed since he began his rehab assignment on Monday. Ellsbury has been out six weeks with a knee sprain.

Words escape me.

--Posted at 8:58 am by SG / 10 Comments | - (0)

Thursday, July 2, 2015

NYDN: Nathan Eovaldi, Garrett Jones help Yankees end losing streak in 3-1 win over Angels

ANAHEIM — The Yankees’ pitchers weren’t taking any chances on Wednesday.

After three straight losses in which the Bombers managed only a run each game, Nathan Eovaldi and the bullpen made sure what they got Wednesday would be enough, combining for a 3-1 win over the Angels.

Eovaldi (8-2) threw 5 1⁄3 scoreless innings before loading the bases in the sixth, but Chasen Shreve’s clutch performance helped keep the starter’s ledger clean for the day. “He’s been doing it all year,” Joe Girardi said of Shreve, who got the final two outs of the sixth with a little help from a nifty Mark Teixeira scoop at first. “We have a ton of confidence in him.”

Shreve pitched a scoreless seventh before Justin Wilson gave up a two-out home run by to right Mike Trout in the eighth, ending the shutout.

Dellin Betances recorded the final four outs for his seventh save, although he put the tying runs on base with two out in the ninth before getting the final out, helping the Yankees avoid a three-game sweep. “You always want a happy flight,” said Garrett Jones, who hit a solo home run to right in the sixth.

The trade with the Marlins finally paid off yesterday.

Shreve has been very good.  In fact, he leads the Yankee pitching staff in RE24, which is a fancy way of saying that he’s essentially saved the team the most runs relative to league average given the base and out states of when he pitched.  That’s more of a value metric than an ability metric, and it is heavily influenced by the way he’s being deployed, but he’s doing the job when he’s being asked to do it and it’s been key.

Whenever this team starts to go into one of their slumps, I begin to tell myself that they were never very good and they’re just returning to their rightful place, but they always seem to manage to win again when I’m expecting them to crater.

--Posted at 7:24 am by SG / 28 Comments | - (0)

Wednesday, July 1, 2015

Yankees (41-37) @ Angels (41-37) , Wednesday July 1, 2015 , 7:05 PM

Yankees: Nathan Eovaldi (R) (82.1 IP, 4.81 ERA, 3.77 FIP) vs. Angels: Matt Shoemaker (R) (78.2 IP, 5.03 ERA, 4.60 FIP)

1. Brett Gardner (L) CF: (.305/.375/.498)
2. Chase Headley (S) 3B: (.246/.300/.369)
3. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.281/.384/.512)
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B: (.246/.359/.536)
5. Brian McCann (L) C: (.265/.335/.473)
6. Garrett Jones (L) RF: (.229/.270/.381)
7. Chris Young (R) LF: (.256/.298/.478)
8. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.235/.287/.324)
9. Stephen Drew (L) 2B: (.181/.253/.370)

1. Johnny Giavotella (R) 2B: (.263/.319/.352)
2. Kole Calhoun (L) RF: (.261/.318/.380)
3. Mike Trout (R) CF: (.303/.392/.582)
4. Albert Pujols (R) DH: (.265/.332/.558)
5. Erick Aybar (S) SS: (.264/.305/.324)
6. David Freese (R) 3B: (.234/.299/.404)
7. Matt Joyce (L) LF: (.190/.280/.317)
8. Chris Iannetta (R) C: (.181/.283/.268)
9. Efren Navarro (L) 1B: (.268/.316/.324)

Sweep, sweep, sweep…

--Posted at 3:30 pm by SG / 26 Comments | - (0)

NY Post: Yankees drifting further from solution to season-long problem

ANAHEIM, Calif. — Baseball is a game of consistency. That makes the Yankees’ troublesome rotation issues even more disconcerting.

The one consistency the starters have shown is grooving home run pitches and it happened again Tuesday night on a hot night in SoCal.

As far as getting it right time and again, that’s been impossible for these starters, and now Adam Warren, their best starter of late, is pushed to the bullpen because there is a need for a Bridge to Betances.

The starters’ chain is weaker as a result.

Pitching coach Larry Rothschild is one of the best in the business and has been trying to figure out each issue.

“It’s been a mix of some things we need to improve upon and some things that have happened,’’ Rothschild told The Post before the Yankees dropped their third straight Tuesday night, 2-1 to the Angels at Angel Stadium.

Seems to me Nova pitched well enough to win if he had any semblance of an offense behind him yesterday, but yeah, the Yankee rotation certainly isn’t impressing anyone lately as they’ve lost seven of their last 10 games.

I’d expect Pineda and Tanaka to pitch better if they are healthy and can’t stay healthy, but I wouldn’t expect them to be or stay healthy.  I’ve never felt Eovaldi was going to be particularly good and I don’t think he will be now.  Nova’s a wild card, and has looked solid, but I’m not sure how much the Yankees can realistically expect from him.  I have no reason to believe that Sabathia’s going to figure out how to pitch with what he has now.

Maybe Luis Severino can come up and give them a temporary boost, but his innings are likely going to be capped.

I guess it’s possible that Pineda/Tanaka/Nova give them enough going forward to remain in contention. 

--Posted at 8:11 am by SG / 16 Comments | - (0)

Tuesday, June 30, 2015

Yankees (41-36) @ Angels (40-37) , Tuesday June 30, 2015 , 10:05 PM

Yankees: Ivan Nova (R) (6.2 IP, 0.00 ERA, 3.70 FIP) vs. Angels: Andrew Heaney (L) (6 IP, 1.50 ERA, 1.93 FIP)

1. Brett Gardner (L) CF: (.305/.377/.502)
2. Chris Young (R) LF: (.667/.667/.667)
3. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.286/.389/.520)
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B: (.244/.356/.524)
5. Brian McCann (L) C: (.269/.339/.480)
6. Carlos Beltran (S) RF: (.263/.312/.433)
7. Chase Headley (S) 3B: (.247/.300/.371)
8. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.238/.290/.328)
9. Stephen Drew (L) 2B: (.183/.256/.375)

1. Johnny Giavotella (R) 2B: (.265/.319/.355)
2. Kole Calhoun (L) RF: (.261/.319/.382)
3. Mike Trout (R) CF: (.300/.390/.583)
4. Albert Pujols (R) 1B: (.265/.333/.552)
5. Erick Aybar (S) SS: (.261/.302/.307)
6. David Freese (R) 3B: (.234/.300/.406)
7. Matt Joyce (L) LF: (.183/.272/.307)
8. C.J. Cron (R) DH: (.207/.239/.297)
9. Chris Iannetta (R) C: (.184/.282/.272)

Let’s see if Nova can strike anyone out tonight.

--Posted at 7:22 pm by SG / 39 Comments | - (0)

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