Replacement Level Yankees Weblog
The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:

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NY Post: J.J. Hardy would ‘listen’ if Yankees called about shortstop opening
(42 Comments - 9/23/2014 6:15:12 pm) Jeter turns back clock with three-RBI night
(12 Comments - 9/23/2014 11:02:00 am)

Orioles (93-62) @ Yankees (80-75), Monday, September 22, 2014, 7:05pm
(41 Comments - 9/22/2014 10:27:09 pm)

NYDN: Masahiro Tanaka stellar in return for Yankees, who earn 5-2 win over Blue Jays
(22 Comments - 9/22/2014 3:48:20 pm)

Blue Jays (78-76) @ Yankees (79-75), Sunday, September 21, 2014, 1:05pm
(23 Comments - 9/22/2014 2:44:48 pm)

Blue Jays (77-76) @ Yankees (79-74), Saturday, September 20, 2014, 4:05pm
(23 Comments - 9/21/2014 6:31:06 am)

Blue Jays (77-75) @ Yankees (78-74), Friday, September 19, 2014, 7:05pm
(25 Comments - 9/20/2014 8:14:40 pm)

NY Times: Against Blue Jays, Derek Jeter and Yankees Show Signs of Life
(24 Comments - 9/19/2014 4:02:27 pm)

Blue Jays (77-74) @ Yankees (77-74), Thursday, September 18, 2014, 7:05pm
(25 Comments - 9/19/2014 9:14:56 am) Derek Jeter breaks his slump
(19 Comments - 9/18/2014 6:36:21 pm)

Look what people have to say about the RLYW!

CAIRO just takes the Marcels and changes the underlying assumptions and components in a bunch of ways that make the Yankees look better.

Wow, two stupid posts in one day. I think you’ve reached your yearly quota.

I don’t know if any of you current posters were around for that, but if so, I just can’t understand how you can call yourselves Yankee fans. Pathetic quitters is what you sounded like. Of the lame posts I could stand to read, the only person who had any confidence in the Yankees at that point was a (yeesh) Red Sox fan.
Jeter is King

Quite the attitude you have SG. Maybe you should shitcan this blog and join Steve at WasWatching? Or follow some other stupid team that has made the PS 15 of the last 17 years. Jeez… and some people think Yankee fans are entitled.

This site is best viewed with a monitor.

Disclaimer: If you think this is the official website of the New York Yankees, you're an idiot. Go away.

Tuesday, September 2, 2014

Red Sox (60-77) @ Yankees (70-65), Tuesday, September 2, 2014, 7:05pm

BOS: Joe Kelly (#56, 26, RHP, 2-3, 4.14) vs. NYY: Shane Greene (#61, 25, RHP, 4-1, 3.09)

1. Brock Holt (L) 2B
2. Mookie Betts (R) CF
3. David Ortiz (L) DH
4. Yoenis Cespedes (R) LF
5. Mike Napoli (R) 1B
6. Daniel Nava (S) RF
7. Will Middlebrooks (R) 3B
8. Xander Bogaerts (R) SS
9. David Ross (R) C

1. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF
2. Derek Jeter (R) SS
3. Brett Gardner (L) LF
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B
5. Carlos Beltran (S) RF
6. Brian McCann (L) DH
7. Martin Prado (R) 2B
8. Chase Headley (S) 3B
9. Francisco Cervelli (R) C

What’s worse than a Boston/Yankees game? 

Trick question. There is nothing worse.

I guess you could say a Boston/Yankees game in September that for all intents and purposes is meaningless would be worse.

Sort of like this game. 

Go Shane Greene I guess.  Also, the Yankees’ best hitter is hitting third.  Granted, that just means he’ll come up with two outs and the bases empty in each of his three PA, and you’d rather have your best hitter getting more PAs than fewer, but in the conventional wisdom of baseball, there is no better spot for your best hitter.

I think this is probably the first time Gardner has batted third in his career.  A quick check of Baseball Reference shows he does have one PA batting third, which I assume came after a pinch-running appearance.

What is amazing to me is that despite how bad the Red Sox offense has been this year (last in the AL in runs scored per game despite playing in a farce of a ballpark, and last in the AL in OPS+)  I count at least eight players in their lineup who would be better than 88.888888888889% of the Yankees’ lineup.

--Posted at 2:31 pm by SG / 83 Comments | - (0)

Newsday: Yankees are running out of time

The Yankees didn’t bury themselves with their 3-4 road trip, but they didn’t do anything to improve their position, either.

And with the calendar flipping to September on Monday, it’s no longer about “winning series,” as Joe Girardi likes to say.

They have to do better than that—meaning a sweep or two or three—to avoid a second straight dark October.

“You know what’s in front of you and you need to win games,” said Girardi, whose team starts a nine-game homestand Tuesday night at the Stadium against the Red Sox. “The trip started off well, it didn’t end up well and we have to make up for it on our homestand.”

The Yankees (70-65), off Monday, picked up a half-game on the AL East-leading Orioles but still trail Baltimore by 8 1/2 games. In the battle for the second wild-card spot, the Yankees and Indians are four games behind the Tigers and 21/2 games behind the Mariners.

“It’s tough,” Derek Jeter said of the Yankees’ situation with 27 games left. “We only have so many series left, we only have so many games left. I don’t necessarily look at it as [winning] series because we’re not going into series saying we need to win series. We need to win games. We need to win every day that we go out there; that’s the approach we need to have.”

Jeter, coming off a rough August—.207 with a .226 on-base percentage—said the Yankees still control their destiny. That’s why he said he doesn’t look at the standings.

I don’t look at the standings either, because they are depressing as hell.

I don’t think the Yankees are running out of time.  I think they’re out of time.

As of this morning, Baseball Prospectus puts their odds of winning the AL East at 0.9% and their odds of qualifying as a wild card at 5.3%.

Fangraphs is slightly more sanguine, at a whopping 2.0% to win the East, and 4.9% for a wild card.

The Yankees really need an insane run to get to the postseason.  It’s probably going to take 90 wins to get the second wild card, and at 70-65 that means they’d have to go 20-7 to get there.  Can this team play better than the 1998 Yankees over their last 27 games?  I’m not sure stranger things have ever happened.

But who knows?

--Posted at 9:04 am by SG / 32 Comments | - (0)

Sunday, August 31, 2014 Yankees Stink

TORONTO—Brandon McCarthy gave up a trio of homers and the Yankees saw a three-run lead evaporate in a 4-3 loss to the Blue Jays in Sunday’s series finale at Rogers Centre.

New York dropped two of three in the series and finished its seven-game road trip with a 3-4 mark, after losing its final two contests in Toronto.

I thought the Yankees probably needed a 5-2 road trip to keep their already meager postseason hopes alive. Instead we got 3-4 and a Masahiro Tanaka setback.

At least we can watch Derek Jeter closing out his career as shell of what he once was.

--Posted at 6:40 pm by SG / 30 Comments | - (0)

Yankees vs Blue Jays, Sunday August 31, 2014

They are probably already losing but I cannot be bothered to check.

--Posted at 12:27 pm by SG / 19 Comments | - (0)

Saturday, August 30, 2014

Yankees (70-63) @ Blue Jays (67-67), Saturday, August 30, 2014, 1:07pm

Joined in progress with the Yankees already shockingly losing, 2-0.

--Posted at 12:53 pm by SG / 51 Comments | - (0)

Friday, August 29, 2014

Yankees (69-63) @ Blue Jays (67-66), Friday, August 29, 2014, 7:07pm

NYY: Chris Capuano (#26, 35, LHP, 1-3, 4.37) vs. TOR: Mark Buehrle (#56, 35, LHP, 11-8, 3.41)

1. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF
2. Derek Jeter (R) SS
3. Martin Prado (R) 3B
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B
5. Brian McCann (L) C
6. Carlos Beltran (S) DH
7. Brett Gardner (L) LF
8. Ichiro Suzuki (L) RF
9. Stephen Drew (L) 2B

Blue Jays
1. Jose Reyes (S) SS
2. Melky Cabrera (S) LF
3. Jose Bautista (R) RF
4. Edwin Encarnacion (R) 1B
5. Dioner Navarro (S) C
6. Danny Valencia (R) 3B
7. Steve Tolleson (R) 2B
8. Colby Rasmus (L) DH
9. Kevin Pillar (R) CF

Congratulations to Brett Gardner on his promotion to the seventh spot in the lineup.

--Posted at 3:36 pm by SG / 57 Comments | - (0)

NY Times: In Season of 63 Losses So Far, Yankees Find Few as Agonizing as This One

DETROIT — The Yankees sat in silence, eating their postgame meals or sitting at their lockers, staring at their phones, perhaps searching for solace. For several minutes, though, after an agonizing loss, they seemed as inconsolable as they had been all season.

It had been barely 10 minutes since an Alex Avila shot off the right-field wall with two outs in the bottom of the ninth inning had eluded Ichiro Suzuki and given the Detroit Tigers a 3-2 win — not enough time for the Yankees to shake off one of their most painful losses of the year.

In recent days, the Yankees had been playing better than they had for much of the season. But the feeling that they were once again playoff contenders made the loss hurt that much more.

“That was about as bad as I’ve felt walking off a mound in my career,” Shawn Kelley said Thursday after giving up the winning hit. Kelley, who slammed his glove to the ground before the ball even landed, added, “Not good.”

Thankfully I was at work and not watching, but following the bottom of the ninth on Gameday was excruciating.

It would have been nice to gain a game on one of the teams in front of them for the wild card, but at least they didn’t lose much ground either. 

I feel like they have to sweep the next series with Toronto, but I don’t see that happening.

--Posted at 8:35 am by SG / 29 Comments | - (0)

Thursday, August 28, 2014

Yankees (69-62) @ Tigers (71-60),  Thursday, August 28, 2014, 1:08pm

NYY: Hiroki Kuroda (#18, 39, RHP, 9-8, 3.94) vs. DET: Kyle Lobstein (#53, 24, LHP, 0-0, 4.76)

1. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF
2. Derek Jeter (R) SS
3. Martin Prado (R) 2B
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B
5. Carlos Beltran (S) DH
6. Brian McCann (L) C
7. Chase Headley (S) 3B
8. Brett Gardner (L) LF
9. Zelous Wheeler (R) RF

. Rajai Davis (R) CF
2. Ian Kinsler (R) 2B
3. Miguel Cabrera (R) 1B
4. Victor Martinez (S) DH
5. J.D. Martinez (R) RF
6. Nick Castellanos (R) 3B
7. Don Kelly (L) LF
8. Alex Avila (L) C
9. Andrew Romine (S) SS

Yeah, bat your best offensive player 8th.  I guess to be fair, Lobstein is a left-hander.

Can’t say I like this pitching matchup very much for the Yankees.

--Posted at 11:56 am by SG / 93 Comments | - (0)

NYDN: Yankees sign Mets reject Chris Young to minor-league deal

DETROIT — Chris Young was a bust with the Mets. Can he redeem himself on the other side of town?

The outfielder inked a minor-league deal with the Yankees on Wednesday, reporting to Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.

“Obviously it’s a guy that’s had some success in his career,” Joe Girardi said. “It’s a very good outfielder, it’s a guy who can hit the ball out of the ballpark. We’re going to see what we have.”

Young hit .205/.283/.346 with eight home runs and 28 RBI in 88 games for the Mets this season before being released on Aug. 15. An All-Star in 2010 with the Diamondbacks, Young has four career seasons of 20-plus homers, his best campaign coming in 2010 when he had 27 homers, 91 RBI and 28 stolen bases.

See, this is where I make a snarky comment along the lines of “If you’re not good enough to play for the Mets…”, but the Mets actually have a better run differential than the Yankees this year.  Granted, that’s in the inferior National League, but still.

Anyway, I don’t have a major problem with this.  Young has hit lefties reasonably well in his career (.254/.357/.458) and could be useful on the bench when rosters expand if he shows them anything in AAA.  If not, he doesn’t get on the roster.

--Posted at 8:42 am by SG / 10 Comments | - (0)

Wednesday, August 27, 2014 Detroit sock city: Yanks hammer Price, gain in WC race

DETROIT—The Yankees have been talking about working better quality at-bats throughout their batting order, one through nine, over their last winning week. In one memorable inning Wednesday night at Comerica Park, every single hitter in the lineup delivered on that promise.

Beginning with leadoff man Jacoby Ellsbury, nine straight batters collected hits as the Yankees took a swing at the record books. The resulting eight-run inning sent David Price to the showers early as New York defeated the Tigers, 8-4, to move to within 2 1/2 games of Seattle for the second American League Wild Card spot.

The Yanks are quite familiar with Price from his previous service in the AL East, but they have never seen him like this. After being forced to throw 43 pitches in the first two innings, Price didn’t record an out in the third as eight earned runs came around, matching his career high.

Derek Jeter had two RBIs in the frame, starting the damage with a run-scoring double to right field off the left-hander. The Yankees stayed on Price’s pitches throughout the inning, as Mark Teixeira, Carlos Beltran and Brian McCann followed by stringing three consecutive RBI hits together.

Brett Gardner and Francisco Cervelli also collected run-scoring singles before Tigers manager Brad Ausmus finally claimed the ball from Price, who recorded no swings and misses in the inning. Blaine Hardy recorded the first out on an Ellsbury sacrifice fly, and Jeter lifted a sac fly to push home the eighth run.

The nine straight hits off Price—who hadn’t allowed nine hits in any of his last 10 starts—were three shy of a Major League record set by the 1920 Cardinals and equaled by the 1930 Brooklyn Robins. Price permitted 12 hits overall, working two-plus innings.

The Yankee offense actually looked like a legitimate MLB offense for an inning there.  Still, take away those nine straight hits and eight runs in the third inning and they lose 4-0.

Shane Greene had another strong game and I am starting to believe he’s developed to the point that his minor league track record is of limited utility when trying to forecast him going forward.  There’s nothing in his peripherals that indicate particularly unsustainable good fortune, as he entered the game with a BABIP against of .321 and a HR/FB rate of 12.5%, both above league average.  He’s pitched about as well as his ERA says he has.

I was just hoping the Yankees wouldn’t get swept here, but now a series win seems like a real possibility. 

Not a likely one, but a possibility nonetheless.

--Posted at 9:40 pm by SG / 9 Comments | - (0)

Yankees (68-62) @ Tigers (71-59), Wednesday, August 27, 2014, 7:08pm

NYY: Shane Greene (#61, 25, RHP, 3-1, 3.17) vs. DET: David Price (#14, 28, LHP, 12-9, 3.00)

1. Smellsbury (L) CF
2. Derek Jeter (R) SS
3. Martin Prado (R) 2B
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B
5. Carlos Beltran (S) RF
6. Brian McCann (L) DH
7. Chase Headley (S) 3B
8. Brett Gardner (L) LF
9. Francisco Cervelli (R) C

1. Ian Kinsler (R) 2B
2. Torii Hunter (R) RF
3. Miguel Cabrera (R) 1B
4. Victor Martinez (S) DH
5. J.D. Martinez (R) LF
6. Nick Castellanos (R) 3B
7. Alex Avila (L) C
8. Eugenio Suarez (R) SS
9. Rajai Davis (R) CF

Yeah, bat your best offensive player 8th.  I guess to be fair, Price is a left-hander.

Can’t say I like this pitching matchup very much for the Yankees.

--Posted at 3:53 pm by SG / 85 Comments | - (0)

NYDN: Yankees GM Cashman reveals how the last-minute deal for Martin Prado went down

Lately Martin Prado has provided a much-needed spark for the Yankees’ revived offense, hitting .417 with six doubles and three home runs while his ballclub was winning seven of nine games to get back in the wild-card chase.

Though he went 0-for-4 in a 5-2 loss to the Tigers on Tuesday night, Prado has been invaluable, playing four different positions while injecting the Yankees’ clubhouse with energy and selflessness that seem to have changed the vibe.

And to think, by about 3 p.m. on July 31, an hour before the trading deadline, Brian Cashman had pretty much given up on trying to make a deal for Prado.

Cashman had engaged Diamondbacks GM Kevin Towers for several days on the possibility, and the rebuilding D-Backs were willing to trade Prado, no doubt at least partly because he is owed $22 million over the next two seasons.

But Towers was looking for a bigger haul in return than simply Pete O’Brien, the slugging minor league catcher. In the days leading up to the deadline, and for much of that Thursday, he proposed multi-player deals asking for various Yankee prospects Cashman wasn’t willing to trade.

It’d be interesting to see who Towers was asking for.

--Posted at 8:43 am by SG / 17 Comments | - (0)

Tuesday, August 26, 2014 McCarthy battles, but Yankees’ win streak snapped

DETROIT—The Yankees used Brandon McCarthy’s most dominant outing in pinstripes as a springboard to a five-game winning streak, one that resuscitated their flagging postseason dreams. Eyeing this series as crucial to that cause, they’ll now need to start a new roll.

McCarthy didn’t have that same razor-sharp command against the Tigers, who peppered the right-hander for nine hits over 6 1/3 innings in handing the Yankees a 5-2 loss on Tuesday night at Comerica Park in a game delayed more than an hour at the start due to rain.

The loss put the Yankees three games back of Detroit and Seattle in the race for the second American League Wild Card spot.

Eh, I’m just hoping the Yankees don’t get swept here.  And I’ll keep hoping that even after they lose tomorrow and Thursday.

--Posted at 10:11 pm by SG / 6 Comments | - (0)

Yankees (68-61) @ Tigers (70-59), Tuesday, August 26, 2014, 7:08pm

NYY: Brandon McCarthy (#38, 30, RHP, 8-12, 4.01) vs. DET: Rick Porcello (#21, 25, RHP, 14-8, 3.10)

1. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF
2. Derek Jeter (R) DH
3. Brian McCann (L) C
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B
5. Carlos Beltran (S) RF
6. Martin Prado (R) 2B
7. Stephen Drew (L) SS
8. Chase Headley (S) 3B
9. Ichiro Suzuki (L) LF

1. Ian Kinsler (R) 2B
2. Torii Hunter (R) RF
3. Miguel Cabrera (R) 1B
4. Victor Martinez (S) DH
5. J.D. Martinez (R) LF
6. Nick Castellanos (R) 3B
7. Alex Avila (L) C
8. Eugenio Suarez (R) SS
9. Rajai Davis (R) CF

I miss TPBG™...

The Tigers entered 2014 as arguably the best team in the American League on paper, but are now staring into the abyss.  They still control their own destiny with six games left against Kansas City, and they have the advantage of a fairly soft schedule over the test of the season with heaping helpings of the Indians, Twins and White Sox.

Not to mention the three-game cream puff series that starts tonight.

The Yankees are not even remotely in the same class as Detroit, and it would be a miracle if the were to win even one game of this series.  Think 2012 ALCS, but make the Tigers better and the Yankees worse and you should get a sense of the carnage that will be unfurled, beginning tonight.

--Posted at 3:12 pm by SG / 71 Comments | - (0)

A Tale of Two Offenses

A 4891 4409 514 1101 197 18 118 481 373 903 45 93 93 23 .250 .312 .383 .695 897
B 4809 4331 515 1065 182 18 114 484 370 933 45 103 95 24 .246 .310 .375 .685 856


--Posted at 8:41 am by SG / 22 Comments | - (0)

Monday, August 25, 2014 Yanks’ streak to five after makeup-game win in KC

KANSAS CITY—Michael Pineda turned his back to home plate in the fifth inning Monday night and gazed out at center field following his fourth strikeout. A few hundred feet away, the Kauffman Stadium CrownVision HD scoreboard provided a replay of Mike Moustakas’ solo home run off the Yankees’ right-hander, two innings earlier.

Pineda observed this, then turned around, stomped on the mound, and redeemed himself by making Moustakas strikeout victim No. 5.

The Moustakas home run was all Pineda would allow in New York’s fifth straight win, a 8-1 triumph over the Royals. The Yankees visited Kansas City to make up a June 9 postponement, and they now head to Detroit to continue a tough stretch that includes 13 games—and four different cities—in 13 days.

The Royals managed just five hits in 6 1/3 innings off Pineda, who made his MLB-leading 15th straight start allowing six hits or fewer. Pineda’s control and command matched his dazzling repertoire, as he issued zero walks and struck out five. His seventh start this season surrendering two runs or fewer dropped his ERA to 1.95.

It usually takes the Yankees a week to score eight runs.

Pineda’s continued to look strong since returning from the 60 day DL.  Let’s hope he can stay healthy.

--Posted at 9:18 pm by SG / 12 Comments | - (0)

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