Replacement Level Yankees Weblog
The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:
 








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Yankees.com: Power of five: Yanks tee off against Sox
(66 Comments - 9/3/2015 11:14:41 pm)

Yankees (73-58) @ Red Sox (61-71) , Wednesday September 2, 2015 , 4:05 PM
(101 Comments - 9/2/2015 8:35:24 pm)

NJ.com: Yankees’ call-up Rico Noel with more than just baseball on his mind
(24 Comments - 9/2/2015 2:52:26 pm)

Yankees.com:Yanks edge rivals, keep pace in East
(8 Comments - 9/2/2015 12:19:47 pm)

Yankees (72-58) @ Red Sox (61-70) , Tuesday September 1, 2015 , 7:10 PM
(74 Comments - 9/2/2015 1:47:26 am)

Yankees.com: Missed opportunities haunt Yankees
(34 Comments - 9/1/2015 9:36:07 pm)

Yankees (72-57) @ Red Sox (60-70) , Monday August 31, 2015 , 7:10 PM
(127 Comments - 8/31/2015 11:55:43 pm)

NYDN: Yankees 2B Stephen Drew finally hitting .200 this season
(14 Comments - 8/31/2015 5:31:04 pm)

Yankees.com: Yankees’ quench offensive thirst in Atlanta
(12 Comments - 8/31/2015 12:20:57 am)

Yankees (71-57) @ Braves (54-75) , Sunday August 30, 2015 , 1:35 PM
(74 Comments - 8/30/2015 7:09:39 pm)


Look what people have to say about the RLYW!

CAIRO just takes the Marcels and changes the underlying assumptions and components in a bunch of ways that make the Yankees look better.
-alskor

Wow, two stupid posts in one day. I think you’ve reached your yearly quota.
sabernar

I don’t know if any of you current posters were around for that, but if so, I just can’t understand how you can call yourselves Yankee fans. Pathetic quitters is what you sounded like. Of the lame posts I could stand to read, the only person who had any confidence in the Yankees at that point was a (yeesh) Red Sox fan.
Jeter is King

Quite the attitude you have SG. Maybe you should shitcan this blog and join Steve at WasWatching? Or follow some other stupid team that has made the PS 15 of the last 17 years. Jeez… and some people think Yankee fans are entitled.
OldYanksFan




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Thursday, August 13, 2015

Yankees (61-51) @ Indians (53-59) , Thursday August 13, 2015 , 7:10 PM

Yankees: Nathan Eovaldi (R) (123.2 IP, 4.15 ERA, 3.63 FIP) vs. Indians: Trevor Bauer (R) (137.1 IP, 4.06 ERA, 4.38 FIP)

Lineups
Yankees
1. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF: (.260/.328/.351)
2. Brett Gardner (L) LF: (.281/.366/.438)
3. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.271/.377/.512)
4. Carlos Beltran (S) RF: (.265/.327/.450)
5. Brian McCann (L) C: (.243/.314/.462)
6. Chase Headley (S) 3B: (.271/.329/.387)
7. Greg Bird (L) 1B: (—-/—-/—-)
8. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.262/.311/.349)
9. Stephen Drew (L) 2B: (.190/.257/.380)

Indians:
1. Jose Ramirez (S) 2B: (.213/.289/.298)
2. Francisco Lindor (S) SS: (.277/.307/.386)
3. Michael Brantley (L) LF: (.316/.392/.466)
4. Carlos Santana (S) DH: (.226/.355/.382)
5. Yan Gomes (R) C: (.227/.260/.373)
6. Abraham Almonte (S) CF: (.247/.304/.397)
7. Chris Johnson (R) 1B: (.265/.297/.355)
8. Lonnie Chisenhall (L) RF: (.230/.262/.364)
9. Giovanny Urshela (R) 3B: (.238/.273/.341)

The only thing saving this game from a ‘Whatever’ is Greg Bird’s MLB debut.  Which is still going to be frustrating when he gets pinch-hit for by zBrendan Rtan in the 6th.

--Posted at 4:30 pm by SG / 65 Comments | - (0)



NY Post: Yankees to call up top prospect Greg Bird

Help is on the way.

The Yankees reportedly will summon slugging first baseman Greg Bird, one of the organization’s top prospects, from Triple-A on Thursday as the plunging club tries to regain first place from the Blue Jays.

The Yankees have lost five straight and are on Day 3 of a stretch of 16 consecutive games. YES Network reported there is concern about the workload on 35-year-old first baseman Mark Teixeira and 40-year-old designated hitter Alex Rodriguez.
Bird could be in the starting lineup Thursday night when the Yankees face right-hander Cleveland starter Trevor Bauer.

The 22-year-old Bird, a lefty swinger with lots of power, has a line of .277/.356/.469 across Double-A and Triple-A this season, with 12 homers and 52 RBIs in 83 combined games.

Bird’s a good prospect, but I wouldn’t get too excited just yet.  Here are his MLEs (major league equivalencies) over the last three seasons.

Year Age AgeDif Tm Lg Lev Aff PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS HBP avg obp slg
2013 20 -1.6 Charleston SALL A NYY 571 510 48 95 23 2 11 48 58 156 1 1 3 .186 .273 .349
2014 21 -1.7 Tampa FLOR A+ NYY 320 289 24 62 17 1 5 22 30 78 1 0 1 .215 .291 .391
2014 21 -3.7 Trenton EL AA NYY 115 101 12 20 6 0 5 8 13 30 0 0 1 .198 .296 .465
2015 22 -2.5 Trenton EL AA NYY 211 190 22 40 12 0 4 22 17 33 1 1 4 .211 .289 .400
2015 22 -4.8 Scranton/Wilkes-Barre IL AAA NYY 149 139 12 36 6 1 5 18 9 29 0 0 1 .259 .309 .468

What does that all mean?  If CAIRO was to project Bird, it would look like this:

Percentile PA AB R H 2B 3B HR RBI BB SO SB CS HBP avg obp slg
80% 638 576 84 163 42 6 25 82 67 122 11 6 6 .282 .370 .582
65% 574 518 67 135 32 4 19 66 53 109 7 4 4 .260 .334 .508
Baseline 510 461 52 109 24 2 13 51 41 106 4 2 2 .237 .298 .434
35% 446 403 40 86 16 1 8 39 30 83 2 1 0 .214 .263 .361
20% 383 346 29 66 10 -1 4 28 21 70 0 0 0 .192 .229 .287

The baseline is not very good, but there’s some upside here obviously.

I’m not sure how much he’s going to play, which also makes this a questionable move.  But we’ll see what happens.

--Posted at 10:03 am by SG / 32 Comments | - (0)




Wednesday, August 12, 2015

Yankees.com: Yanks fall out of first place with loss to Tribe

Danny Salazar struck out eight and pitched into the eighth inning as the Indians dislodged the Yankees from first place in the American League East, notching their fourth consecutive victory with a 2-1 decision on Wednesday night at Progressive Field.

Francisco Lindor and Abraham Almonte each delivered a run-scoring single to account for the offensive production against CC Sabathia, who permitted 11 baserunners over six innings of work but limited the damage against one of his former clubs.

The Yanks’ offense again remained largely dormant as they lost their fifth straight game, falling out of first place for the first time since July 1. Brian McCann hit a second-inning homer off Salazar, who allowed just four hits while walking five over 7 1/3 innings as he earned his 10th victory of the year. New York is a half-game behind the Blue Jays.

Okay, things are obviously extremely terrible right now. The Yankees have gone from 7.5 in front to 0.5 games behind Toronto (and it’s even worse than that, as they were 8.5 games up on Toronto). That’s really bad.

However, let me try a bit of a thought experiment with you all. The Yankees play Toronto this weekend. If the Yankees had won these last two games, they’d still fall out of first if Toronto swept them this weekend. In other words, their remaining TEN games against Toronto will likely tell the tale of the division. If Toronto is really as good as they have looked recently, feasting on the souls of every team that dares try to defeat them, then these last two games didn’t really matter, since Toronto will be taking care of the division in these upcoming ten games. And if the Yankees actually do well against Toronto, then these last two games also won’t matter, as the Yankees will be in good shape again. In other words, as painful as these last two losses have been following the sweep against Toronto (at home!), the bigger case for the division will be made in how they do against Toronto, in both a good sense (they can get back into things by playing well against Toronto) and a bad sense (Toronto will, in the words of Mortal Kombat, “finish them”).

In addition, another area where we can’t just ignore it because everything else sucks is that the pitching has been really, really good lately. Eovaldi and Tanaka were great against a great Toronto offense and Severino and Sabathia pitched well against Cleveland. There are some positives here. They are very much outweighed by the complete collapse of the offense (don’t rush on picking up a hitter, Cash, things are totally fine here - no rush at all), but they are still there.

--Posted at 10:06 pm by Brian Cronin / 20 Comments | - (0)



Yankees (61-50) @ Indians (52-59) , Wednesday August 12, 2015 , 7:10 PM

Yankees: CC Sabathia (L) (123 IP, 5.34 ERA, 4.71 FIP) vs. Indians: Danny Salazar (R) (125.1 IP, 3.38 ERA, 3.46 FIP)

Lineups
Yankees
1. Brett Gardner (L) CF: (.281/.365/.439)
2. Chase Headley (S) 3B: (.272/.327/.389)
3. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.273/.380/.517)
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B: (.259/.362/.561)
5. Brian McCann (L) C: (.243/.315/.455)
6. Carlos Beltran (S) RF: (.264/.325/.448)
7. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.265/.314/.353)
8. Chris Young (R) LF: (.259/.314/.482)
9. Stephen Drew (L) 2B: (.192/.259/.384)

Indians:
TBA

--Posted at 3:46 pm by SG / 70 Comments | - (0)



NY Times: Yankees’ Loss in 16th Shrinks Their Lead to Half a Game

CLEVELAND — After last weekend, when simply pushing a runner across home plate seemed like such a monumental task for the Yankees, the sight of much-maligned Stephen Drew hitting a home run that ended a 31-inning scoreless streak inspired a sigh of relief Tuesday night.

It did not, however, signal any change in the Yankees’ fortunes.

Those continued on a downward spiral, as the Yankees lost to the Cleveland Indians, 5-4, in 16 innings.

Michael Brantley’s one-out single off the glove of first baseman Mark Teixeira drove in Jose Ramirez for the winning run. The hit was off Branden Pinder, the eighth Yankees pitcher, and punctuated an excruciating 5-hour-4-minute defeat.

The clubhouse was quiet enough to hear the clink of cutlery and ceramic plates as players ate their postgame meal in near silence.

WTH?  Cutlery and ceramic plates?  What happened to plastic flatware and paper plates?

Anyway, there’s no need to panic.  The Yankees are still leading the AL East by two games in the loss column. 

Panic would be silly.

--Posted at 8:08 am by SG / 16 Comments | - (0)




Tuesday, August 11, 2015

Yankees (61-49) @ Indians (51-59) , Tuesday August 11, 2015 , 7:10 PM

Yankees: Luis Severino (R) (5 IP, 1.80 ERA, 2.90 FIP) vs. Indians: Carlos Carrasco (R) (136.1 IP, 3.76 ERA, 2.81 FIP)

Lineups
Yankees
1. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF: (.267/.336/.360)
2. Brett Gardner (L) LF: (.285/.368/.446)
3. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.275/.382/.523)
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B: (.263/.367/.570)
5. Brian McCann (L) C: (.245/.316/.459)
6. Carlos Beltran (S) RF: (.261/.323/.437)
7. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.261/.311/.348)
8. Stephen Drew (L) 2B: (.192/.261/.378)
9. Brendan Ryan (R) 3B: (.271/.314/.438)

Indians:
1. Jose Ramirez (S) 2B: (.198/.280/.288)
2. Francisco Lindor (S) SS: (.271/.300/.385)
3. Michael Brantley (L) LF: (.313/.388/.460)
4. Carlos Santana (S) DH: (.223/.354/.383)
5. Yan Gomes (R) C: (.225/.259/.376)
6. Abraham Almonte (S) CF: (.254/.309/.429)
7. Chris Johnson (R) 1B: (.253/.287/.348)
8. Lonnie Chisenhall (L) RF: (.228/.261/.364)
9. Giovanny Urshela (R) 3B: (.251/.284/.360)

--Posted at 4:34 pm by SG / 158 Comments | - (0)



NJ.com: Yankees scoreless in 26 straight innings for first time since 1991

NEW YORK — Didi Gregorius was one year old. Derek Jeter hadn’t been drafted yet. Alex Rodriguez was in high school. Joe Girardi was a 26-year-old catcher for the Chicago Cubs.

And so on.

After being shutout for the second straight game Sunday—the first time that’s happened since 1999—the Yankees have now not scored in 26 straight innings, the first time, according to the Elias Sports Bureau, that that’s happened since May 1991, when all of the above things were true. (They went 32 scoreless innings in ‘91.)

The last time they did score, last Friday, was when Mark Teixeira launched a second-inning home run to left, his 30th of the year. It appeared at the time that while the Toronto Blue Jays were going to score a bunch over the weekend, so too were the Yankees.

Nope.

In the last three games, New York has the fewest hits in baseball, 14, good (or bad) enough for a .151 average.

By contrast the Cleveland Indians, who the Yankees open a three-game series against Tuesday, are best in baseball at the plate since Friday, smacking 47 hits (.416 average) with four homers.

You generally have all the information you need to assess the quality of a team by what they’ve done since the prior Friday.  Ergo, WOE meets BOE? 

WOE is us…

--Posted at 8:04 am by SG / 64 Comments | - (0)




Monday, August 10, 2015

NY Times: Yankees’ New Look: Over Their Shoulders

First, there were no expectations for the Yankees.

Then, as the wins mounted and the lead in the division solidified, expectations grew, even though the Yankees were still the same aging team and even though their only star-caliber player was coming off a season-long drug suspension.

The Yankees had played well and hit well, and they had done so without breaking the bank for reinforcements.

Now they may have wished they did.

Toronto, buoyed by the addition of three players to an already talented roster, stormed into New York and stopped the Yankees with three suffocating performances. On Sunday, the Yankees were shut out for the second day in a row. In fact, they have not scored a run in 26 innings — not since Mark Teixeira’s home run to lead off the second inning on Friday.

The top of the batting order is not hitting. The bottom of the order is not hitting. The Yankees don’t steal bases.

The Yankees still do still have a three game lead in the loss column in the AL East (both teams have 61 wins) despite getting swept in this series with Toronto, but it feels like a question of when Toronto will overtake them rather than if.

If the Blue Jays play to their Pythagorean winning percentage of .611 over the rest of their 49 games, they will end the year at 91 wins.  If the Yankees play to their Pythagorean winning percentage of .555 over the rest of the season, they will end the year at 90 wins.

It doesn’t really matter since they play 10 more times against each other, and that will be the primary factor in who takes the East.  But getting swept really changed the outlook of the division pretty significantly.

But if you want to look at the bright side, the Yankees only lost this series 2.9 to 0.1 according to Pythag.  So they didn’t really get swept after all.

--Posted at 8:18 am by SG / 53 Comments | - (0)




Sunday, August 9, 2015

Blue Jays (60-52) @ Yankees (61-48) , Sunday August 9, 2015 , 1:05 PM

Blue Jays: Marco Estrada (R) (111.1 IP, 3.40 ERA, 3.84 FIP) vs. Yankees: Masahiro Tanaka (R) (93.2 IP, 3.84 ERA, 4.07 FIP)

Congratulations to the Blue Jays on their 2015 AL East Championship.

--Posted at 9:33 am by SG / 89 Comments | - (0)




Saturday, August 8, 2015

Blue Jays (59-52) @ Yankees (61-47) , Saturday August 8, 2015 , 1:05 PM

Tor: D. Price (10-4, 2.45 ERA) vs. NYY: I. Nova (4-3, 3.10 ERA)

--Posted at 9:00 am by SG / 54 Comments | - (0)




Friday, August 7, 2015

Blue Jays (58-52) @ Yankees (61-46) , Friday August 7, 2015 , 7:05 PM

Blue Jays: R.A. Dickey (R) (144 IP, 4.06 ERA, 4.59 FIP) vs. Yankees: Nathan Eovaldi (R) (117.1 IP, 4.30 ERA, 3.54 FIP)

Lineups
Blue Jays
1. Troy Tulowitzki (R) SS: (.301/.354/.478)
2. Josh Donaldson (R) 3B: (.295/.363/.569)
3. Jose Bautista (R) RF: (.234/.358/.499)
4. Edwin Encarnacion (R) DH: (.251/.349/.478)
5. Justin Smoak (S) 1B: (.234/.314/.450)
6. Russell Martin (R) C: (.254/.336/.464)
7. Ryan Goins (L) 2B: (.233/.296/.332)
8. Kevin Pillar (R) CF: (.264/.302/.377)
9. Ben Revere (L) LF: (.295/.331/.368)

Yankees:
1. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF: (.280/.348/.378)
2. Brett Gardner (L) LF: (.286/.369/.450)
3. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.281/.388/.537)
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B: (.266/.371/.573)
5. Brian McCann (L) C: (.254/.324/.476)
6. Carlos Beltran (S) RF: (.259/.316/.441)
7. Chase Headley (S) 3B: (.274/.329/.394)
8. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.256/.306/.345)
9. Stephen Drew (L) 2B: (.196/.266/.386)

Drew was so close to .200, but alas it appears to have passed him by again.

I’m pretty much expecting Toronto to sweep this series, but who knows?

--Posted at 2:58 pm by SG / 80 Comments | - (0)



The Postseason Implications of the Upcoming Series with the Blue Jays

The Blue Jays are heading to the Bronx having won five straight games and eight of their last nine.  After falling to 23-30 on June 2, they’ve gone 35-22, equivalent to a 99 win pace over a full season.  They’ve added Troy Tulowitzki and David Price to a team that already had the best run differential and Pythagorean winning percentage in baseball.

The Yankees have the edge in the standings, but Toronto is probably the better team right now.  With 13 head to head games remaining between the two teams, the 4.5 game gap can disappear very quickly. 

Here’s how my Monte Carlo simulator projects the postseason in the AL as of this morning.

American League
TM W L RS RA Div WC1 WC2 PS% W+/-
Yankees 89 73 755 688 56.2% 17.0% 11.1% 84.2% 81-97
Blue Jays 86 76 827 698 29.2% 21.4% 13.4% 63.9% 78-95
Orioles 84 78 714 650 11.6% 16.0% 15.8% 43.4% 75-92
Rays 80 82 616 619 3.0% 5.9% 8.3% 17.2% 72-88
Red Sox 74 88 716 774 0.1% 0.4% 0.9% 1.3% 66-82
TM W L RS RA Div WC WC2 PS% W+/-
Royals 92 70 679 627 90.9% 2.2% 2.5% 95.6% 84-100
Tigers 81 81 710 733 5.6% 7.4% 10.4% 23.3% 73-89
Twins 78 84 677 729 1.2% 2.5% 4.1% 7.8% 70-86
White Sox 77 85 647 716 1.1% 2.4% 2.9% 6.4% 69-85
Indians 77 85 655 685 1.3% 1.1% 2.3% 4.7% 69-85
TM W L RS RA Div WC WC2 PS% W+/-
Angels 86 76 672 619 47.2% 8.6% 8.6% 64.5% 78-94
Astros 86 76 709 667 41.5% 11.4% 12.9% 65.8% 78-94
Rangers 78 84 722 792 6.0% 2.3% 3.7% 12.0% 70-86
Mariners 78 84 628 655 3.8% 1.2% 4.1% 9.1% 70-86
Athletics 75 87 670 624 1.5% 0.4% 2.0% 3.8% 67-84

W: Projected final 2015 wins
L: Projected final 2015 losses
RS: Projected final 2015 runs scored
RA: Projected final 2015 runs allowed
Div: Division win percentage
WC1: Wild card win percentage
WC2: Wild card win percentage
PS: Postseason percentage (Div + WC1 + WC2)
W+/-: Projected wins within one standard deviation

The Yankees don’t have to win the majority of the remaining games with Toronto to take the division.  But they probably need to win at least five of them.  If the two teams had no other games left this season and the Yankees went 5-8, the final standings would look like this:

Yankees: 66-54
Blue Jays: 67-57

I believe the Yankees have the easier schedule over the rest of the season, and have more home games as well.  Toronto has played 53 games on the road (22-31) and 57 at home (36-21) compared to the Yankees who’ve played 50 at home (32-18) and 57 on the road (29-28).

Anyway, here’s how the various outcomes of this series would affect the AL’s postseason odds.  Bear in mind that there is some randomness in every set of simulations which may cause difference that aren’t directly related to what’s happening between Toronto and the Yankees.

Jays 3-0
TM W L RS RA Div WC1 WC2 PS% W+/-
Blue Jays 88 74 827 698 42.5% 21.7% 13.2% 77.4% 80-96
Yankees 88 74 755 688 41.5% 21.1% 13.9% 76.6% 80-96
Orioles 84 78 714 650 13.0% 13.3% 15.1% 41.4% 75-92
Rays 80 82 616 619 2.9% 5.9% 8.9% 17.7% 72-88
Red Sox 74 88 716 774 0.2% 0.4% 0.8% 1.4% 66-82
TM W L RS RA Div WC WC2 PS% W+/-
Royals 92 70 679 627 88.9% 2.8% 1.3% 92.9% 83-100
Tigers 81 81 710 733 6.4% 7.7% 9.1% 23.2% 73-89
Twins 78 84 677 729 1.7% 1.7% 4.7% 8.0% 70-86
White Sox 78 84 647 716 1.3% 2.2% 2.9% 6.5% 70-86
Indians 77 85 655 685 1.8% 1.6% 3.7% 7.0% 69-85
TM W L RS RA Div WC WC2 PS% W+/-
Angels 86 76 672 619 48.0% 7.6% 9.0% 64.6% 78-94
Astros 86 76 709 667 43.5% 9.5% 12.8% 65.8% 78-94
Mariners 78 84 628 655 3.2% 2.2% 3.6% 9.1% 70-86
Rangers 78 84 722 792 4.1% 2.0% 3.2% 9.3% 70-86
Athletics 75 87 670 624 1.2% 0.3% 0.7% 2.1% 67-83
Jays 2-1
TM W L RS RA Div WC1 WC2 PS% W+/-
Yankees 89 73 755 688 50.6% 19.0% 11.1% 80.7% 80-97
Blue Jays 87 75 827 698 33.2% 21.6% 15.1% 69.9% 79-95
Orioles 84 78 714 650 12.8% 13.7% 13.8% 40.3% 75-92
Rays 81 81 616 619 3.4% 5.7% 8.5% 17.7% 72-89
Red Sox 74 88 716 774 0.0% 0.4% 0.5% 0.9% 66-82
TM W L RS RA Div WC WC2 PS% W+/-
Royals 92 70 679 627 88.3% 3.0% 2.2% 93.5% 83-100
Tigers 81 81 710 733 6.9% 6.9% 10.2% 24.0% 73-89
White Sox 77 85 647 716 1.4% 2.2% 3.5% 7.0% 69-85
Twins 77 85 677 729 1.9% 1.7% 3.8% 7.5% 69-85
Indians 77 85 655 685 1.6% 1.1% 3.0% 5.6% 69-85
TM W L RS RA Div WC WC2 PS% W+/-
Angels 86 76 672 619 45.1% 10.3% 10.3% 65.7% 78-94
Astros 86 76 709 667 46.0% 9.9% 12.2% 68.1% 78-94
Rangers 78 84 722 792 4.0% 2.2% 3.4% 9.7% 70-86
Mariners 78 84 628 655 3.5% 1.8% 3.2% 8.5% 70-86
Athletics 75 87 670 624 1.4% 0.5% 1.3% 3.2% 67-83
Yankees 2-1 (Ha)
TM W L RS RA Div WC1 WC2 PS% W+/-
Yankees 90 72 755 688 62.2% 16.5% 10.3% 89.0% 82-98
Blue Jays 86 76 827 698 22.9% 24.0% 15.4% 62.2% 78-94
Orioles 83 79 714 650 11.6% 13.1% 13.3% 38.0% 75-91
Rays 81 81 616 619 3.2% 6.0% 9.3% 18.5% 72-89
Red Sox 74 88 716 774 0.1% 0.8% 0.5% 1.4% 66-82
TM W L RS RA Div WC WC2 PS% W+/-
Royals 92 70 679 627 89.5% 2.8% 1.9% 94.2% 83-100
Tigers 81 81 710 733 6.4% 6.2% 10.0% 22.5% 73-89
Twins 78 84 677 729 1.7% 3.5% 4.3% 9.5% 70-86
White Sox 77 85 647 716 1.5% 2.1% 3.3% 6.8% 69-85
Indians 77 85 655 685 0.9% 2.0% 3.3% 6.2% 69-85
TM W L RS RA Div WC WC2 PS% W+/-
Angels 86 76 672 619 49.8% 8.8% 8.2% 66.8% 78-94
Astros 86 76 709 667 40.1% 10.4% 13.5% 64.1% 78-94
Mariners 78 84 628 655 5.3% 1.5% 3.9% 10.6% 70-86
Rangers 78 84 722 792 3.7% 2.0% 4.5% 10.2% 70-86
Athletics 75 87 670 624 1.1% 0.4% 1.3% 2.8% 67-83
Yankees 3-0 (Ha ha)
TM W L RS RA Div WC1 WC2 PS% W+/-
Yankees 91 71 755 688 73.1% 12.4% 6.6% 92.0% 83-99
Blue Jays 85 77 827 698 14.7% 21.7% 16.0% 52.4% 77-93
Orioles 83 79 714 650 9.7% 17.8% 15.8% 43.3% 75-92
Rays 80 82 616 619 2.6% 8.0% 10.5% 21.0% 72-88
Red Sox 74 88 716 774 0.1% 0.3% 1.0% 1.4% 66-82
TM W L RS RA Div WC WC2 PS% W+/-
Royals 92 70 679 627 89.3% 3.5% 2.6% 95.3% 83-100
Tigers 81 81 710 733 6.3% 7.8% 10.4% 24.5% 73-89
Twins 78 84 677 729 1.7% 1.6% 4.5% 7.8% 70-86
White Sox 78 84 647 716 1.7% 2.4% 3.9% 7.9% 69-86
Indians 77 85 655 685 1.2% 1.6% 2.9% 5.6% 69-85
TM W L RS RA Div WC WC2 PS% W+/-
Angels 86 76 672 619 44.2% 10.0% 8.0% 62.1% 78-94
Astros 86 76 709 667 45.8% 9.8% 11.6% 67.1% 78-94
Rangers 78 84 722 792 4.3% 1.6% 4.2% 10.1% 70-86
Mariners 78 84 628 655 4.3% 1.2% 3.4% 8.8% 70-86
Athletics 76 86 670 624 1.4% 0.5% 1.3% 3.3% 67-84

I guess the moral of this is, don’t get swept.  Which should be the moral of every series anyway and which is pointless because the Yankees will get swept because they stink and because these are the pitching matchups:

R.A. Dickey (144 IP, 4.06 ERA, 4.59 FIP) vs. Nathan Eovaldi (117.1 IP, 4.30 ERA, 3.54 FIP)
David Price (154 IP, 2.45 ERA, 3.01 FIP) vs. Ivan Nova (40.2 IP, 3.10 ERA, 4.25 FIP)
Marco Estrada (111 IP, 3.40 ERA, 3.83 FIP) vs. Masahiro Tanaka (93.2 IP, 3.84 ERA, 4.07 FIP)

But if by some miracle the Yankees can win just one measly game, they make their chances to hold off the clearly superior Blue Jay juggernaut just a bit better.

--Posted at 9:07 am by SG / 22 Comments | - (0)



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