Replacement Level Yankees Weblog
The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:
 








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CBS New York: Yankees Linked To Several Players As Trade Deadline Fast Approaches
(25 Comments - 7/31/2014 11:22:03 am)

Yankees.com: Yankees Stink
(14 Comments - 7/31/2014 9:54:54 am)

Yankees (55-51) @ Rangers (42-65), Wednesday, July 30, 2014, 8:05pm
(39 Comments - 7/30/2014 11:14:18 pm)

Yankees.com: Seven-run sixth helps Yanks hold off Rangers
(6 Comments - 7/30/2014 7:21:07 pm)

The Sustainability of TPBG
(18 Comments - 7/30/2014 4:34:22 pm)

Yankees (54-51) @ Rangers (42-64), Tuesday, July 29, 2014, 8:05pm
(101 Comments - 7/30/2014 12:22:46 am)

Anonymous MLB Scout: They[The Yankees] have more in their farm system than people think
(19 Comments - 7/29/2014 4:48:09 pm)

Yankees.com: Gardner has Yu’s number, but Yanks fall in Texas
(8 Comments - 7/29/2014 11:50:16 am)

Yankees (54-50) @ Rangers (41-64), Monday, July 28, 2014, 8:05pm
(51 Comments - 7/28/2014 11:26:34 pm)

USA Today: Injured Rockies shortstop Troy Tulowitzki shows up at Yankees game
(14 Comments - 7/28/2014 7:42:37 pm)


Look what people have to say about the RLYW!

CAIRO just takes the Marcels and changes the underlying assumptions and components in a bunch of ways that make the Yankees look better.
-alskor

Wow, two stupid posts in one day. I think you’ve reached your yearly quota.
sabernar

I don’t know if any of you current posters were around for that, but if so, I just can’t understand how you can call yourselves Yankee fans. Pathetic quitters is what you sounded like. Of the lame posts I could stand to read, the only person who had any confidence in the Yankees at that point was a (yeesh) Red Sox fan.
Jeter is King

Quite the attitude you have SG. Maybe you should shitcan this blog and join Steve at WasWatching? Or follow some other stupid team that has made the PS 15 of the last 17 years. Jeez… and some people think Yankee fans are entitled.
OldYanksFan




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Monday, June 23, 2014

Yankees (39-35) @ Blue Jays (42-35), Monday, June 23, 2014, 7:07pm

NYY: Chase Whitley (#39, 25, RHP, 3-0, 2.56) vs. TOR: Marcus Stroman (#54, 23, RHP, 3-2, 5.14)

Lineups
Yankees
1. Brett Gardner (L) LF
2. Carlos Beltran (S) DH
3. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B
5. Brian McCann (L) C
6. Kelly Johnson (L) 3B
7. Brian Roberts (S) 2B
8. Ichiro Suzuki (L) RF
9. Brendan Ryan (R) SS

Blue Jays
1. Jose Reyes (S) SS
2. Melky Cabrera (S) LF
3. Adam Lind (L) DH
4. Edwin Encarnacion (R) 1B
5. Colby Rasmus (L) CF
6. Dioner Navarro (S) C
7. Juan Francisco (L) 3B
8. Munenori Kawasaki (L) 2B
9. Anthony Gose (L) RF

Is it starting to smell around here?

--Posted at 4:02 pm by SG / 24 Comments | - (0)



The Rise and Fall of Yangervis Solarte

Yangervis Solarte seemingly came out of nowhere with a strong spring training to win a spot on the Yankees’ 25 man roster on Opening Day.  He forced his way into a full-time role with his hitting and had an impressive line of .336/.414/.521 entering May 15.  Since then he’s been pretty bad.

Start End PA avg obp slg ops isoD isoP
4/2/2014 5/14/2014 142 .331 .408 .512 .921 .078 .182
5/15/2014 6/22/2014 118 .190 .274 .286 .559 .083 .095

Start End gb% fb% ld% iffb% hr/fb bb% so% babip xbabip
4/2/2014 5/14/2014 39.4% 35.8% 22.9% 1.8% 10.3% 12.0% 12.0% .350 .316
5/15/2014 6/22/2014 46.3% 33.7% 14.7% 5.3% 6.3% 9.3% 11.9% .200 .269

isoD: isolated discipline (obp - avg)
isoP: isolated power (slg - avg)
gb%: ground ball percentage
fb%: fly ball percentage
ld%: line drive percentage
iffb%: infield fly ball percentage
hr/fb: home runs per fly ball
bb%: walk percentage
so%: strikeout percentage
babip: batting average on balls in play
xbabip: expected babip (calculated as 0.15 x fb% + 0.24 x gb% + 0.73 x ld%

Calculating expected batting average on balls in play is not nearly an exact science, but I don’t think it’s a stretch to say that Solarte was playing over his head to start the year and has probably not been as bad as his numbers since May 15.  I’m encouraged by the fact that his walk rate and strikeout rate have been fairly consistent, but not so encouraged by the drop in his line drive percentage.

The defensive metrics peg Solarte as a hair below average at both 2B and 3B, albeit in too small of a sample size to be particularly useful.

Solarte is probably stretched as a full-time starter, but given the Yankee roster he may still deserve to start at either second or third base fairly regularly.  Here are the wOBA projections for the Yankees’ primary options for 2B and 3B over the rest of the season.

ROS projections steamer zips
Solarte .309 .305
Roberts .303 .304
K. Johnson .316 .319

Kelly Johnson should probably be playing more than he has, especially in lieu of Brian Roberts, but he’s only played two innings at 2B this year despite it being his primary position throughout his career. 

Rumor has it the Yankees are seeking another starting pitcher as their primary target as we move towards the trade deadline.  But I think they would get more benefit from adding an infielder that can outperform what they have at 2B or 3B.  But they seem to love starting pitchers even though their offense is probably their biggest problem right now.

--Posted at 8:23 am by SG / 37 Comments | - (0)




Sunday, June 22, 2014

Orioles (38-35) @ Yankees (39-34), Sunday, June 22, 2014, 2:05pm

BAL: Chris Tillman (#30, 26, RHP, 5-4, 4.82) vs. NYY: Masahiro Tanaka (#19, 25, RHP, 11-1, 1.99)

Lineups
Orioles
1. Nick Markakis (L) RF
2. Steve Pearce (R) DH
3. Adam Jones (R) CF
4. Nelson Cruz (R) LF
5. Chris Davis (L) 1B
6. J.J. Hardy (R) SS
7. Manny Machado (R) 3B
8. Jonathan Schoop (R) 2B
9. Caleb Joseph (R) C

Yankees
1. Brett Gardner (L) LF
2. Derek Jeter (R) SS
3. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B
5. Brian McCann (L) C
6. Carlos Beltran (S) DH
7. Kelly Johnson (L) 3B
8. Yangervis Solarte (S) 2B
9. Ichiro Suzuki (L) RF

It’s Old Timer’s Day, and it’s also Tanaka Day!

--Posted at 10:43 am by SG / 56 Comments | - (0)




Saturday, June 21, 2014

Yankees.com: Nuno stung by homers as Yanks’ win streak ends

Left-hander Vidal Nuno’s struggles have been magnified at Yankee Stadium, in large part due to his inability to keep the ball out of the air.

He has allowed 13 home runs here and the Yankees are 1-6 at home when he takes the mound. Those problems were back on display during Saturday’s 6-1 loss against the Orioles. Nuno had trouble locating his fastball, and Baltimore tagged him for three home runs—matching Nuno’s career high for homers allowed.

Nuno will apparently make his next start because the Yankees don’t have any clearly better alternatives.

At least it’s Tanaka day tomorrow.

--Posted at 6:25 pm by SG / 10 Comments | - (0)



Orioles (37-35) @ Yankees (39-33),  Saturday, June 21, 2014, 1:05pm

BAL: Bud Norris (#25, 29, RHP, 6-5, 3.73) vs. NYY: Vidal Nuno (#57, 26, LHP, 1-3, 5.90)

Lineups
Orioles
1. Nick Markakis (L) RF
2. Steve Pearce (R) LF
3. Adam Jones (R) CF
4. Nelson Cruz (R) DH
5. Chris Davis (L) 1B
6. J.J. Hardy (R) SS
7. Manny Machado (R) 3B
8. Jonathan Schoop (R) 2B
9. Caleb Joseph (R) C

Yankees
1. Brett Gardner (L) LF
2. Derek Jeter (R) SS
3. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B
5. Carlos Beltran (S) DH
6. Kelly Johnson (L) 3B
7. Brian Roberts (S) 2B
8. Ichiro Suzuki (L) RF
9. Francisco Cervelli (R) C

No, Masahiro Tanaka is not pitching today.

--Posted at 10:07 am by SG / 21 Comments | - (0)




Friday, June 20, 2014

Yankees.com: Beltran rips thrilling walk-off blast to beat O’s

Carlos Beltran clobbered a game-winning three-run home run in the bottom of the ninth, and the Yankees beat the Orioles, 5-3, in dramatic walk-off fashion Friday night, their first walk-off homer of the season.

Brett Gardner led off the ninth with a single against lefty Zach Britton. After Britton retired Derek Jeter and Jacoby Ellsbury, the two-out magic began. Mark Teixeira walked and Brian McCann followed with a line drive to center field to score Gardner. Then Beltran stepped to the plate.

Working a 3-1 hitter’s count, Beltran whipped his bat around and sent a high 96-mph fastball deep into the night, ensuring the comeback and providing the Yankees their fourth straight win, all against division rivals.

When Joe Girardi decided to bring David Huff in in a one-run game in the ninth and Huff gave up a run (unearned due to a Yangervis Solarte error at third), did anyone think that this game would possibly be a win? Especially with recently installed Orioles closer Zach Britton entering the game with a 0.72 ERA. And then, well, the improbable happened. With two outs and a runner on first, the Yankees proceeded to get a walk, an RBI single from McCann and then a walk-off three-run home run from Beltran, the first home run of three or more runs since over a week ago (Teix hit a three-run home run off of Chris Young in Seattle).

So the Yankees walked off with a shocking, but awesome 5-3 victory. The win became even more important when Toronto came back from an 8-0 deficit to win 14-9 against Cincinnati (not a good night for good closers - Aroldis Chapman gave up four runs tonight). So the Yankees hold steady with Toronto. We just have to hope that Toronto loses tomorrow, since tomorrow is Vidal Nuno day…which is not a fun day.

--Posted at 11:07 pm by Brian Cronin / 13 Comments | - (0)



Orioles (37-34) @ Yankees (38-33),  Friday, June 20, 2014, 7:05pm

BAL: Ubaldo Jimenez (#31, 30, RHP, 2-8, 4.86) vs. NYY: Hiroki Kuroda (#18, 39, RHP, 4-5, 4.32)

Lineups
Orioles
1. Nick Markakis (L) RF
2. Steve Pearce (R) DH
3. Adam Jones (R) CF
4. Chris Davis (L) 1B
5. Nelson Cruz (R) LF
6. J.J. Hardy (R) SS
7. Manny Machado (R) 3B
8. Ryan Flaherty (L) 2B
9. Nick Hundley (R) C

Yankees
1. Brett Gardner (L) LF
2. Derek Jeter (R) SS
3. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B
5. Brian McCann (L) C
6. Carlos Beltran (S) DH
7. Ichiro Suzuki (L) RF
8. Brian Roberts (S) 2B
9. Yangervis Solarte (S) 3B

No, Masahiro Tanaka is not pitching today.

--Posted at 2:48 pm by SG / 51 Comments | - (0)




Thursday, June 19, 2014

Yankees.com: Yanks put brooms on first-place Jays

Carlos Beltran plated a pair of runs behind a solid outing from David Phelps as the Yankees now trail by 1 1/2 games in the AL East race.

And tied in the loss column.

Phelps’s first two starts of June were brutal, as he allowed 13 runs over 11.2 innings.  He’s now allowed two over his last two starts in 13 innings, and the seven he gave the Yankees was critical with their two best relievers unavailable.  Even if CC Sabathia and Michael Pineda make it back and are effective (something I would not bet on), there’s likely a permanent rotation spot available for one of Phelps, Chase Whitley or Vidal Nuno and Phelps is certainly making his case for it, as is Whitley.  Nuno, probably not.

--Posted at 10:05 pm by SG / 38 Comments | - (0)



Blue Jays (41-32) @ Yankees (37-33), Thursday, June 19, 2014, 7:05 pm

TOR: Drew Hutchison (23, RHP, 5-4, 3.62) vs. NYY: David Phelps (27, RHP, 2-4, 4.32)

Lineups
Blue Jays
1. Jose Reyes (S) SS
2. Melky Cabrera (S) LF
3. Jose Bautista (R) RF
4. Edwin Encarnacion (R) 1B
5. Dioner Navarro (S) DH
6. Juan Francisco (L) 3B
7. Erik Kratz (R) C
8. Colby Rasmus (L) CF
9. Steve Tolleson (R) 2B

Yankees
1. Brett Gardner (L) LF
2. Derek Jeter (R) SS
3. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B
5. Brian McCann (L) C
6. Carlos Beltran (S) DH
7. Ichiro Suzuki (L) RF
8. Brian Roberts (S) 2B
9. Kelly Johnson (L) 3B

No, Masahiro Tanaka is not pitching today.

--Posted at 3:02 pm by SG / 47 Comments | - (0)



NY Post: How much of Whitley’s success is owed to Tanaka?

I recently encountered an official from a team that went aggressively after Tanaka, only to fall short to the Yankees.

“Did you think he’d be this good?” I asked.

“Yes,” the official responded, without blinking.

So if we’re going to discuss the most shocking contributor to this Yankees season, we might just have to place Chase Whitley above Tanaka.

It cost teams $20 million (the posting fee to the Rakuten Golden Eagles) just to talk to Tanaka before even discussing contract terms. Last winter, at the Rule 5 draft, any of the other 29 teams could have taken Whitley for $50,000; the Yankees didn’t protect him on their 40-man roster. All 29 passed.

And now Whitley, mostly a reliever in the minor leagues, owns a 3-0 record and 2.56 ERA in seven major league starts after beating the Blue Jays Wednesday night. He owns a very healthy 6.5 strikeout-to-walk ratio, and his FIP (a metric on the ERA scale that removes fielding from the equation) is 2.71. So it’s not like his results are illusory; he’s been about as good as he seems.

--Posted at 12:27 pm by SG / 4 Comments | - (0)



NY Times: Parity Could Be a Plus for the So-So Yankees

Cashman said he expects to make a deal, because that is what he always does. But do the Yankees have the talent to get what they want?

“I feel that we do have the ability to make trades if that’s a route we so choose,” Cashman said. “How we line up with other clubs, I don’t know. It is in the eye of the beholder. But I definitely have people that are wanted within the industry. But we want those guys, too.”

The Yankees have gotten strong bullpen work from the homegrown Dellin Betances and Adam Warren, and those pitchers would have value. But the Yankees need them. With McCann on board for five years, they might consider dealing their top prospect, the Class AA catcher Gary Sanchez. But Sanchez was benched last week for unspecified disciplinary reasons and is hitting .246 with seven homers.

The sooner the Yankees act, Cashman said, the higher the price they will pay. He is not dwelling on the reasons the Yankees are mired in the middle.

“There’s a lot of reasons we are where we are right now,” he said. “The job is to get it where it belongs, which is first place.”

I have a hard time envisioning a trade that makes the Yankees the favorites to win the AL East at this point.  Actually, I can envision a few trades that would accomplish that, but none that are realistic.  Unless my dream of Alfonso Soriano for Mike Trout interests the Angels…

I’d rather see them stand pat at this point and hope for a miracle than further mortgage an already murky future to try and eke out another handful of wins this year.

--Posted at 9:44 am by SG / 6 Comments | - (0)



Yankees.com: McCann’s five RBIs lead Yankees past first-place Jays

When the Yankees signed catcher Brian McCann in the offseason, they undoubtedly envisioned the kind of offensive performances the lefty slugger displayed Wednesday night.

McCann busted out of a prolonged power-hitting slump by tying a career high with five RBIs, led by a go-ahead two-run homer off starter Mark Buehrle in the fourth inning, guiding the Yankees to a 7-3 victory over the American League East-leading Blue Jays.

“It’s much different when you get contributions up and down your lineup,” said manager Joe Girardi. “We really believe in him as an offensive force, and he really showed it tonight.”

Trailing, 2-1, in the bottom of the fourth, the Yankees reclaimed the lead for good when McCann greeted Buehrle’s 10th pitch of the at-bat with a line drive that just snuck over the right-field wall. In the seventh, McCann broke things open off lefty reliever Brett Cecil, clearing the bases with a triple that dropped just out the reach of a diving Colby Rasmus. A few feet made all the difference.

“[I was thinking],‘Please don’t catch it,’” said McCann. “And when it fell, I knew I had a good chance for three.”

I knew McCann had been struggling, but I didn’t know that he hadn’t hit a home run since May 23 and had only one extra base hit in June up until tonight’s home run and triple. That’s just odd. Oh well, I’ll take it!

I think many of us were worried about Chase Whitley being exposed against Toronto tonight and to a certain extent he was, but he did some fine battling and pitched well overall. He just threw too many pitches. That’s more of a sign of how good Toronto’s offense is, though. They sort of make you throw a lot of pitches. Adam Warren was lights out and while I don’t begrudge Girardi for freaking out after Jose Ramirez looked lost in the eighth inning, I would have preferred to have seen Shawn Kelley in the ninth inning up four than D-Rob. If Kelley can’t be trusted to pitch a single inning without giving up four runs, then why is he even on the team?

Anyhow, it was a great win. Let’s hope that we get the good David Phelps tomorrow in the series finale!

--Posted at 12:26 am by Brian Cronin / 12 Comments | - (0)




Wednesday, June 18, 2014

Blue Jays (41-31) @ Yankees (36-33), Wednesday, June 18, 2014, 7:05 pm

TOR: Mark Buehrle (#56, 35, LHP, 10-3, 2.28) vs. NYY: Chase Whitley (#39, 25, RHP, 2-0, 2.41)

Lineups
Blue Jays
1. Jose Reyes (S) SS
2. Melky Cabrera (S) LF
3. Jose Bautista (R) RF
4. Edwin Encarnacion (R) 1B
5. Brett Lawrie (R) 3B
6. Juan Francisco (L) DH
7. Dioner Navarro (S) C
8. Colby Rasmus (L) CF
9. Munenori Kawasaki (L) 2B

Yankees
1. Brett Gardner (L) LF
2. Derek Jeter (R) SS
3. Whoever (L) CF
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B
5. Alfonso Soriano (R) RF
6. Carlos Beltran (S) DH
7. Brian McCann (L) C
8. Yangervis Solarte (S) 3B
9. Brian Roberts (S) 2B

No, Masahiro Tanaka is not pitching today.

--Posted at 3:26 pm by SG / 51 Comments | - (0)



NY Post: No excuse for Yankees power outage at home

Joe Girardi needs to call a team meeting.

Not the traditional clubhouse kind in which he and the team leaders offer inspiration or fury or some combination to try to launch the club.

Girardi should gather his position players at home plate Wednesday before the second game against the Blue Jays, and then walk them out to right field. Reintroduce them to what used to be called around here “The Short Right Field Porch,” but now plays for the home squad like a fence too far.

If I had to pick the Yankees’ biggest flaw on the field right now, it’s their lack of power.  And I don’t think an introduction to the right-field fence is going to correct it.  They need to get better players, but that is easier said than done.

--Posted at 10:49 am by SG / 15 Comments | - (0)




Tuesday, June 17, 2014

Yankees.com: Tanaka tops Jays to earn Majors-best 11th victory

NEW YORK—In Mashario Tanaka’s first start in the Majors, the first batter, the Blue Jays’ Melky Cabrera, greeted him with a leadoff home run.

Tanaka faced the Blue Jays again on Tuesday, and this time, Jose Reyes sent the first pitch he saw from Tanaka over the right-field wall for a 1-0 lead.

But Tanaka eventually settled in, as he did during that first start, and guided the Yankees to another victory, this one a 3-1 final against the Blue Jays at Yankee Stadium on Tuesday. Tanaka’s 11 wins lead the Majors, and his 1.99 ERA is the best in the American League.

Brett Gardner gave the Yankees the lead in the bottom of the third inning with a two-run homer off the right-field foul pole.

The Jays made Tanaka work pretty hard today, which limited him to six innings, but we can add yet another quality start to his ledger.  The Yankees are now 12-2 in games started by Tanaka vs. 24-31 in all other games.

Can he pitch every day?  Please?

--Posted at 9:45 pm by SG / 15 Comments | - (0)



Blue Jays (41-30) @ Yankees (35-33), Tuesday, June 17, 2014, 7:05pm

TOR: Marcus Stroman (#54, 23, RHP, 3-1, 5.18) vs. NYY: Masahiro Tanaka (#19, 25, RHP, 10-1, 2.02)

Lineups
Blue Jays
1. Jose Reyes (S) SS
2. Melky Cabrera (S) LF
3. Jose Bautista (R) RF
4. Edwin Encarnacion (R) 1B
5. Brett Lawrie (R) 3B
6. Dioner Navarro (S) C
7. Juan Francisco (L) DH
8. Munenori Kawasaki (L) 2B
9. Anthony Gose (L) CF

Yankees
1. Brett Gardner (L) LF
2. Derek Jeter (R) SS
3. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF
4. Mark Teixeira (S) 1B
5. Brian McCann (L) C
6. Carlos Beltran (S) DH
7. Ichiro Suzuki (L) RF
8. Brian Roberts (S) 2B
9. Kelly Johnson (L) 3B

--Posted at 2:43 pm by SG / 49 Comments | - (0)



NYDN: As Jays come to Bronx, Yankees open 15-game stretch that will show if Bombers are contenders

The trips to the West Coast are over, the week in Chicago is in the past, and the 10 games without the use of a designated hitter are finally done.

After spending six weeks roaming around the rest of the divisions in baseball, it’s time for the Yankees to get down to business in the AL East.

Tuesday, the second-place Yankees welcome the first-place Blue Jays to the Bronx for a key three-game set that also jumpstarts a string of 15 straight games against AL East opponents that could help determine whether the Yankees will spend their summer as contenders or pretenders.

“You don’t want to make too much of it, but it’s obviously an important period when you’re going to see the teams that we’re going to see,” Joe Girardi said. “It’s a huge stretch against East Coast teams. You have a chance to make up ground and put distance between other teams and yourself. I think it’s really important.”

It’s crunch time.

--Posted at 9:43 am by SG / 18 Comments | - (0)



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