Replacement Level Yankees Weblog
The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:

RSS 2.0 Atom Obama honors Yankees legend Yogi Berra, drops Yogi-ism
(70 Comments - 11/29/2015 9:36:44 pm) Yankees’ Gary Sanchez ranked No. 4 among Arizona Fall League prospects
(47 Comments - 11/25/2015 10:16:21 am)

NBC Sports: Robinson Cano reportedly unhappy in Seattle, would like to go back to New York
(31 Comments - 11/24/2015 11:53:50 am)

FOX Sports: Yankees’ self-imposed financial restrictions could cost team Gardner, Miller
(10 Comments - 11/23/2015 2:01:41 pm)

CBS New York: Sweeny’s Yankees Notes: Harper To The Bronx After 2018 A Mortal Lock
(49 Comments - 11/22/2015 6:33:58 pm) Yanks willing to develop talent, curtail spending
(40 Comments - 11/20/2015 10:19:44 am)

SB Nation: Your team should pay for a pitcher now because next year’s free agents stink
(59 Comments - 11/19/2015 4:32:28 pm)

NY Post: How Yankees’ optimistic A-Rod, Teixeira thinking can burn them
(17 Comments - 11/17/2015 10:28:20 am) GM meetings wrap: 5 Yankees things that happened (and will shape 2016)
(55 Comments - 11/16/2015 9:09:16 am)

NYDN: Yankees planning to make serious run at pitcher Wei-Yin Chen: source
(13 Comments - 11/13/2015 11:42:46 pm)

Look what people have to say about the RLYW!

CAIRO just takes the Marcels and changes the underlying assumptions and components in a bunch of ways that make the Yankees look better.

Wow, two stupid posts in one day. I think you’ve reached your yearly quota.

I don’t know if any of you current posters were around for that, but if so, I just can’t understand how you can call yourselves Yankee fans. Pathetic quitters is what you sounded like. Of the lame posts I could stand to read, the only person who had any confidence in the Yankees at that point was a (yeesh) Red Sox fan.
Jeter is King

Quite the attitude you have SG. Maybe you should shitcan this blog and join Steve at WasWatching? Or follow some other stupid team that has made the PS 15 of the last 17 years. Jeez… and some people think Yankee fans are entitled.

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Sunday, October 18, 2015 What to do with Aaron Judge?

Considered the top hitting prospect in the Yankees’ system, Judge got a ton of attention in spring training, even with no chance of making the big league roster out of camp. He predictably went to Double-A where he hit .284/.350/.516 with 12 home runs in 63 games. Bumped up to Triple-A, Judge seemed to be finally challenged by minor league pitching. He hit .224/.308/.373 with three home runs in 61 games with Scranton/Wilkes-Barre.

A few possibilities for next season:

Not much else to talk about, Yankee-wise, so I figure we might as well discuss Aaron Judge, since Chad Jennings wrote an article on the Yankee prospect.

Jennings lists three options for how the Yankees should handle Judge next season:

1. Call him up, see if he can’t find a role on the team in pinch-hitting opportunities/rest for starters
2. Leave him in Triple A and see what happens
3. Trade him

I am a proponent of #2. What do you folks think?

--Posted at 6:02 pm by Brian Cronin / 5 Comments | - (0)

Friday, October 16, 2015

How it Is

Why you think your team won in the playoffs: We were built smarter, run smarter, played smarter and we’re all better looking than everyone else and have larger pensises

Why your team actually won in the playoffs: Shit broke the right way for you


Why your team actually lost in the playoffs: Shit broke the wrong way for you

--Posted at 9:46 am by Guy Incognito / 68 Comments | - (0)

Thursday, October 15, 2015 How did the Yankees’ top 2 draft picks from 2015 perform this summer?

The Yankees held two picks in the 2015 major league draft last June, choosing 16th and 30th overall, selecting two collegiate prospects from southern California.

New York took UCLA right-handed pitcher James Kaprielian at No. 16 and University of San Diego shortstop Kyle Holder at No. 30, signing both this past summer.

Each player saw time in the Yankees’ organization in the past few months, wetting their feet before heading into the off-season.

Here’s a look at how each performed:

Kaprielian didn’t throw many innings, but seemed to hold his own.  Holder got 224 at bats and did the opposite of holding his own.

--Posted at 10:58 am by SG / 51 Comments | - (0)

Tuesday, October 13, 2015 The Good, the Bad, and the Bullpens

Ben Lindbergh, writing for Grantland, discusses a “Bullpen Management Above Random” statistic, to see which managers were best in baseball at managing their bullpen, and Joe Girardi has continually ranked near the top in this stat.

Matheny — who told USA Today’s Ted Berg in April that he uses three-year statistical stats as a “tiebreaker” when making bullpen moves but believes that managers “first and foremost have to trust our gut” — ranks at the bottom over a multiyear sample as well as in 2015. Mets manager Terry Collins and Toronto’s Gibbons, who made the perplexing decision to use David Price in low-leverage relief in Monday’s Game 4, aren’t far behind. But Girardi is BMAR’s golden boy.

Girardi is already regarded as a bullpen whisperer; BMAR just clinches the case. In April 2014, Fox Sports reporter Ken Rosenthal passed on the praise of a “rival AL exec” who’d told him that Girardi was “the best [he’d] seen at managing a bullpen.” The BBWAA is onboard: Girardi (who won the NL Manager of the Year Award in 2006) hasn’t finished lower than sixth in AL MotY voting since 2008, even though his high-payroll teams have missed the playoffs twice. After eight seasons in the country’s largest media market, Girardi’s bullpen use still gets a seal of approval from both bloggers and tabloid beat writers, two tough-to-please constituencies. It’s even more impressive that Girardi leads in BMAR given his reluctance to use relievers three days in a row, which limits his options in some high-leverage situations: This season, the Yankees ranked 29th in reliever appearances on zero days’ rest, but they also ranked first in multi-inning outings. For what it’s worth, the Yankees have exceeded their Pythagorean win-loss record by an average of two games per season during Girardi’s years at the helm, as have the Angels during Scioscia’s 16 years in Anaheim. Bochy’s teams have exceeded their Pythagorean records by an average of one win during his 21 seasons.

I will admit that there were a number of times where I was puzzled at some of Girardi’s decisions this year, but I also think that he got way more complaints than he deserved, as the Yankees’ bullpens have always done very well under him, even when he lost Mariano Rivera and suddenly Rafael Soriano became Mo-esque out of nowhere. It is nice to see a statistic that backs up his strong performance.

--Posted at 3:15 pm by Brian Cronin / 96 Comments | - (0)

Sunday, October 11, 2015

NYDN: Brett Gardner’s future with Yankees uncertain after terrible second half

What happened to Brett Gardner?

The first half saw the speedy left fielder make it to his first All-Star Game, one of the primary reasons for the Yankees’ surprising ascent to the top of the American League East.

The second half? That was another story.

Following the Yankees’ 21-5 win in Texas on July 28, the Yankees were 57-42 and held a seven-game lead in the American League East.

Gardner – one of three Yankees All-Stars this season – was having a stellar season, hitting .297 with an .850 OPS, 72 runs, 11 home runs, 46 RBI and 15 stolen bases in 93 games.

There was plenty of blame to go around for the Yankees’ late-season struggles, from Alex Rodriguez’s horrific August and September to the crippling injuries to Mark Teixeira and Nathan Eovaldi.

But none stood out as much as Gardner, who hit .196 with a .561 OPS, five homers, 20 RBI and five stolen bases in 58 games from July 29 through the end of the regular season.

Gardner was brutally bad in the second half, although I wouldn’t blame him singularly for the Yankees blowing a seven game division lead over two months.  But he sure didn’t help.

Gardner was probably the second most valuable position player on the team overall, even with that abysmal second half.  So why trade him?  Because he’s one of the few position players that may have positive trade value and who does not have a no-trade clause.  You couldn’t give away the albatross known as the five remaining seasons of Jacoby Ellsbury right now.  I don’t know if Chase Headley has a no-trade clause, but he’s not exactly someone teams would be lining up to get right now either.  I’m fairly certain Brian McCann has a no-trade clause and minimal trade value.

I wouldn’t trade Gardner because his value is probably at a relative low right now, but it makes baseball sense to at least see what’s out there.  While it’s tempting to think they could then open a spot for a free agent signing, they could also cobble together a platoon of Chris Young and Slade Heathcott/Mason Williams instead.

I’ll be disappointed if the Yankees do end up trading him, but he’s probably already peaked and his value to the Yankees as a player or a trade chip is likely only going to go down from here.

But wouldn’t it be awesome if they could trick someone into trading for Ellsbury instead?

--Posted at 3:53 pm by SG / 69 Comments | - (0)

Tuesday, October 6, 2015 “Ya Couldn’t Say Surprised”

Dallas Keuchel continued his season-long mastery of the Yankees with six more scoreless innings, Colby Rasmus and Carlos Gomez homered off Masahiro Tanaka, and the Astros advanced to the American League Division Series with a 3-0 victory on Tuesday night at Yankee Stadium.

With the victory in the AL Wild Card Game presented by Budweiser, the Astros move on to face the Royals in the best-of-five ALDS, which begins on Thursday night in Kansas City (Fox Sports 1). The Yankees’ first postseason appearance in three years was brief, due in large part to Keuchel, who limited them to three hits in a seven-strikeout performance, pitching on three days’ rest for the first time in his pro career.

When I think back upon this game, I think of that line from Bob Dylan’s “Lily, Rosemary and the Jack of Hearts.” You really couldn’t say any of us were surprised by this, right? John Sterling and Suzyn Waldman talk about not being able to predict baseball (well, Sterling does, at least. Waldman just sort of goes along with it), and that’s technically true, but at the same time, you can pretty reasonably guess how things are LIKELY to go, and the most likely scenario was that the dominant lefthanded pitcher, Dallas Keuchel, who had not given up a hit against the Yankees in sixteen innings this year, would continue to do well against them, particularly as they have struggled mightily against all lefthanded pitching recently, let alone someone like Keuchel, who will either be winning the Cy Young this year or will be coming in second place. So no, it was not surprising.

It was not similarly not surprising that Masahiro Tanaka pitched well, but not, like, exceptionally well. Still, two solo shots in five innings is fair enough. Can’t really blame Tanaka. Dellin Betances had an awful seventh inning, but when the team couldn’t even score a single run, it’s hard to knock him too much for giving up a single run.

Well, the season is over, not with a bang but with a whimper. Next year does not necessarily look to be any better than this one, but, well, this one was better than we expected, right? So hope springs eternal for next season. Maybe 5/9th of the lineup won’t go into months-long slumps all at the same time again next year. 

--Posted at 11:37 pm by Brian Cronin / 224 Comments | - (0)

Astros (86-76) @ Yankees (87-75) , Tuesday October 6, 2015 , 8:00 PM **AL Wild Card**

Astros: Dallas Keuchel (L) (232 IP, 2.48 ERA, 2.91 FIP, 7.2 bWAR) vs. Yankees: Masahiro Tanaka (R) (154 IP, 3.51 ERA, 3.98 FIP, 3.1 bWAR)

1. Jose Altuve (R) 2B: (.313/.353/.459), 4.5 bWAR
2. George Springer (R) RF: (.276/.367/.459), 3.8 bWAR
3. Carlos Correa (R) SS: (.279/.345/.512), 4.1 bWAR
4. Colby Rasmus (L) LF: (.238/.314/.475), 2.6 bWAR
5. Evan Gattis (R) DH: (.246/.285/.463), 0.5 bWAR
6. Carlos Gomez (R) CF: (.255/.314/.409), 2.3 bWAR
7. Luis Valbuena (L) 3B: (.224/.310/.438), 2.1 bWAR
8. Chris Carter (R) 1B: (.199/.307/.427), -0.1 bWAR
9. Jason Castro (L) C: (.211/.283/.365), 1.3 bWAR
Total Lineup bWAR: 21.1

1. Brett Gardner (L) CF: (.259/.343/.399), 3.3 bWAR
2. Chris Young (R) LF: (.252/.320/.453), 1.1 bWAR
3. Carlos Beltran (S) RF: (.276/.337/.471), 0.9 bWAR
4. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.250/.356/.486), 3.0 bWAR
5. Brian McCann (L) C: (.232/.320/.437), 2.7 bWAR
6. Chase Headley (S) 3B: (.259/.324/.369), 1.1 bWAR
7. Greg Bird (L) 1B: (.261/.343/.529), 0.9 bWAR
8. Rob Refsnyder (R) 2B: (.302/.340/.512), 0.3 bWAR
9. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.265/.318/.370), 3.3 bWAR
Total Lineup bWAR: 16.6

If the Yankees are going to advance to the playoffs, they’ll have to get past the most effective pitcher in the American League in 2015.  Keuchel should win the Cy Young this year, and he has killed left-handed batters this year which is why the Yankees have benched Jacoby Ellsbury and are playing Rob Refsnyder instead of Dustin Ackley.

Keuchel is going on three days rest, but I don’t think that’s going to be a big deal.  The main thing we can hope for is that Masahiro Tanaka can match zeros with Keuchel and the Yankees can get a run off the Astros’ bullpen, which may not be all that easy either since they have some pretty solid relievers as well.

I didn’t think the Yankees would be here, so I guess I’m happy about that.  But I’ll be happier if they can pull off the impossible and beat Keuchel.

--Posted at 3:49 pm by SG / 302 Comments | - (0)

Bombers Beat: Yankees announce roster for Wild Card game


68 Betances, Dellin
48 Miller, Andrew
55 Mitchell, Bryan
47 Nova, Ivan
67 Pazos, James
40 Severino, Luis
19 Tanaka, Masahiro
43 Warren, Adam
41 Wilson, Justin

34 McCann, Brian
66 Murphy, John Ryan
73 Sanchez, Gary

29 Ackley, Dustin
31 Bird, Greg
18 Gregorius, Didi
12 Headley, Chase
64 Refsnyder, Rob
13 Rodriguez, Alex
17 Ryan, Brendan

36 Beltran, Carlos
22 Ellsbury, Jacoby
11 Gardner, Brett
72 Heathcott, Slade
70 Noel, Rico
24 Young, Chris

Pretty weird seeing a deep and versatile bench.  Oh what the seven man bullpen has wrought.

--Posted at 9:58 am by SG / 58 Comments | - (0)

NY Post: The weekend-long bender behind CC Sabathia’s rehab stay

“His drinking got really bad this weekend, and it put him in a really bad place,” said a source close to the team.

“He was afraid. He felt that if I don’t do this now and go into rehab, I don’t know what is going to happen.”

The last straw for Sabathia came during the team’s final regular-season series in Baltimore, where he spent most of his time pounding drinks at a hotel, the source said.
Sabathia, 35, arrived there with his teammates late Thursday after his home victory against the Red Sox clinched a playoff spot for the Yankees.

By Friday, the pitcher looked “out of it” as the team waited around Baltimore’s Camden Yards to play a game that was eventually rained out.

“He drank every day last week apart from the day he pitched,” the source said. “The tipping point was Friday when he was at the stadium. He carried on drinking Saturday.”

CC is about the last player I’d have expected to have a drinking problem, but I’m glad to see him trying to combat it.  It’s not likely it will impact his team that much since I would give them maybe a 20% chance of advancing past tonight’s game anyway.  I don’t think the drinking is the cause of CC’s decline from effectiveness.  I think the drinking is likely because of his decline.

I am not going to be policing comments and banning people, so I’ll just ask that this since this is an emotional topic let’s try to be respectful to each other and to differing viewpoints.  For those who have shared or may share related personal stories, thank you for your honesty and openness.

--Posted at 8:08 am by SG / 14 Comments | - (0)

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