Replacement Level Yankees Weblog
The Curse of Jerry Hairston, Jr./Eric Hinske:

RSS 2.0 Atom “Ya Couldn’t Say Surprised”
(103 Comments - 10/8/2015 11:57:47 am)

Astros (86-76) @ Yankees (87-75) , Tuesday October 6, 2015 , 8:00 PM **AL Wild Card**
(301 Comments - 10/7/2015 2:57:26 am)

Bombers Beat: Yankees announce roster for Wild Card game
(58 Comments - 10/6/2015 5:51:51 pm)

NY Post: The weekend-long bender behind CC Sabathia’s rehab stay
(14 Comments - 10/6/2015 11:58:10 am)

CBS Sports: CC Sabathia checks into alcohol rehab, will not pitch in postseason
(45 Comments - 10/6/2015 10:39:05 am)

NYDN: Yankees could have a problem against Astros’ ace Dallas Keuchel
(71 Comments - 10/5/2015 11:20:25 pm) Yanks to host WC Game despite loss to O’s
(36 Comments - 10/5/2015 11:56:26 am)

Yankees (87-74) @ Orioles (80-81) , Sunday October 4, 2015 , 3:05 PM
(70 Comments - 10/4/2015 6:59:41 pm) Yanks drop Game 2, delay WC home-field clinch
(20 Comments - 10/4/2015 5:55:36 pm)

Yankees (87-72) @ Orioles (78-81) , Saturday October 3, 2015 , House Money Double Header
(81 Comments - 10/3/2015 10:28:02 pm)

Look what people have to say about the RLYW!

CAIRO just takes the Marcels and changes the underlying assumptions and components in a bunch of ways that make the Yankees look better.

Wow, two stupid posts in one day. I think you’ve reached your yearly quota.

I don’t know if any of you current posters were around for that, but if so, I just can’t understand how you can call yourselves Yankee fans. Pathetic quitters is what you sounded like. Of the lame posts I could stand to read, the only person who had any confidence in the Yankees at that point was a (yeesh) Red Sox fan.
Jeter is King

Quite the attitude you have SG. Maybe you should shitcan this blog and join Steve at WasWatching? Or follow some other stupid team that has made the PS 15 of the last 17 years. Jeez… and some people think Yankee fans are entitled.

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Tuesday, October 6, 2015 “Ya Couldn’t Say Surprised”

Dallas Keuchel continued his season-long mastery of the Yankees with six more scoreless innings, Colby Rasmus and Carlos Gomez homered off Masahiro Tanaka, and the Astros advanced to the American League Division Series with a 3-0 victory on Tuesday night at Yankee Stadium.

With the victory in the AL Wild Card Game presented by Budweiser, the Astros move on to face the Royals in the best-of-five ALDS, which begins on Thursday night in Kansas City (Fox Sports 1). The Yankees’ first postseason appearance in three years was brief, due in large part to Keuchel, who limited them to three hits in a seven-strikeout performance, pitching on three days’ rest for the first time in his pro career.

When I think back upon this game, I think of that line from Bob Dylan’s “Lily, Rosemary and the Jack of Hearts.” You really couldn’t say any of us were surprised by this, right? John Sterling and Suzyn Waldman talk about not being able to predict baseball (well, Sterling does, at least. Waldman just sort of goes along with it), and that’s technically true, but at the same time, you can pretty reasonably guess how things are LIKELY to go, and the most likely scenario was that the dominant lefthanded pitcher, Dallas Keuchel, who had not given up a hit against the Yankees in sixteen innings this year, would continue to do well against them, particularly as they have struggled mightily against all lefthanded pitching recently, let alone someone like Keuchel, who will either be winning the Cy Young this year or will be coming in second place. So no, it was not surprising.

It was not similarly not surprising that Masahiro Tanaka pitched well, but not, like, exceptionally well. Still, two solo shots in five innings is fair enough. Can’t really blame Tanaka. Dellin Betances had an awful seventh inning, but when the team couldn’t even score a single run, it’s hard to knock him too much for giving up a single run.

Well, the season is over, not with a bang but with a whimper. Next year does not necessarily look to be any better than this one, but, well, this one was better than we expected, right? So hope springs eternal for next season. Maybe 5/9th of the lineup won’t go into months-long slumps all at the same time again next year. 

--Posted at 11:37 pm by Brian Cronin / 103 Comments | - (0)

Astros (86-76) @ Yankees (87-75) , Tuesday October 6, 2015 , 8:00 PM **AL Wild Card**

Astros: Dallas Keuchel (L) (232 IP, 2.48 ERA, 2.91 FIP, 7.2 bWAR) vs. Yankees: Masahiro Tanaka (R) (154 IP, 3.51 ERA, 3.98 FIP, 3.1 bWAR)

1. Jose Altuve (R) 2B: (.313/.353/.459), 4.5 bWAR
2. George Springer (R) RF: (.276/.367/.459), 3.8 bWAR
3. Carlos Correa (R) SS: (.279/.345/.512), 4.1 bWAR
4. Colby Rasmus (L) LF: (.238/.314/.475), 2.6 bWAR
5. Evan Gattis (R) DH: (.246/.285/.463), 0.5 bWAR
6. Carlos Gomez (R) CF: (.255/.314/.409), 2.3 bWAR
7. Luis Valbuena (L) 3B: (.224/.310/.438), 2.1 bWAR
8. Chris Carter (R) 1B: (.199/.307/.427), -0.1 bWAR
9. Jason Castro (L) C: (.211/.283/.365), 1.3 bWAR
Total Lineup bWAR: 21.1

1. Brett Gardner (L) CF: (.259/.343/.399), 3.3 bWAR
2. Chris Young (R) LF: (.252/.320/.453), 1.1 bWAR
3. Carlos Beltran (S) RF: (.276/.337/.471), 0.9 bWAR
4. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.250/.356/.486), 3.0 bWAR
5. Brian McCann (L) C: (.232/.320/.437), 2.7 bWAR
6. Chase Headley (S) 3B: (.259/.324/.369), 1.1 bWAR
7. Greg Bird (L) 1B: (.261/.343/.529), 0.9 bWAR
8. Rob Refsnyder (R) 2B: (.302/.340/.512), 0.3 bWAR
9. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.265/.318/.370), 3.3 bWAR
Total Lineup bWAR: 16.6

If the Yankees are going to advance to the playoffs, they’ll have to get past the most effective pitcher in the American League in 2015.  Keuchel should win the Cy Young this year, and he has killed left-handed batters this year which is why the Yankees have benched Jacoby Ellsbury and are playing Rob Refsnyder instead of Dustin Ackley.

Keuchel is going on three days rest, but I don’t think that’s going to be a big deal.  The main thing we can hope for is that Masahiro Tanaka can match zeros with Keuchel and the Yankees can get a run off the Astros’ bullpen, which may not be all that easy either since they have some pretty solid relievers as well.

I didn’t think the Yankees would be here, so I guess I’m happy about that.  But I’ll be happier if they can pull off the impossible and beat Keuchel.

--Posted at 3:49 pm by SG / 301 Comments | - (0)

Bombers Beat: Yankees announce roster for Wild Card game


68 Betances, Dellin
48 Miller, Andrew
55 Mitchell, Bryan
47 Nova, Ivan
67 Pazos, James
40 Severino, Luis
19 Tanaka, Masahiro
43 Warren, Adam
41 Wilson, Justin

34 McCann, Brian
66 Murphy, John Ryan
73 Sanchez, Gary

29 Ackley, Dustin
31 Bird, Greg
18 Gregorius, Didi
12 Headley, Chase
64 Refsnyder, Rob
13 Rodriguez, Alex
17 Ryan, Brendan

36 Beltran, Carlos
22 Ellsbury, Jacoby
11 Gardner, Brett
72 Heathcott, Slade
70 Noel, Rico
24 Young, Chris

Pretty weird seeing a deep and versatile bench.  Oh what the seven man bullpen has wrought.

--Posted at 9:58 am by SG / 58 Comments | - (0)

NY Post: The weekend-long bender behind CC Sabathia’s rehab stay

“His drinking got really bad this weekend, and it put him in a really bad place,” said a source close to the team.

“He was afraid. He felt that if I don’t do this now and go into rehab, I don’t know what is going to happen.”

The last straw for Sabathia came during the team’s final regular-season series in Baltimore, where he spent most of his time pounding drinks at a hotel, the source said.
Sabathia, 35, arrived there with his teammates late Thursday after his home victory against the Red Sox clinched a playoff spot for the Yankees.

By Friday, the pitcher looked “out of it” as the team waited around Baltimore’s Camden Yards to play a game that was eventually rained out.

“He drank every day last week apart from the day he pitched,” the source said. “The tipping point was Friday when he was at the stadium. He carried on drinking Saturday.”

CC is about the last player I’d have expected to have a drinking problem, but I’m glad to see him trying to combat it.  It’s not likely it will impact his team that much since I would give them maybe a 20% chance of advancing past tonight’s game anyway.  I don’t think the drinking is the cause of CC’s decline from effectiveness.  I think the drinking is likely because of his decline.

I am not going to be policing comments and banning people, so I’ll just ask that this since this is an emotional topic let’s try to be respectful to each other and to differing viewpoints.  For those who have shared or may share related personal stories, thank you for your honesty and openness.

--Posted at 8:08 am by SG / 14 Comments | - (0)

Monday, October 5, 2015

CBS Sports: CC Sabathia checks into alcohol rehab, will not pitch in postseason

Yankees left-hander CC Sabathia has checked into an alcohol rehab center, the team announced. He will not be available to pitch in the postseason.

Here is Sabathia’s statement:

“Today I am checking myself into an alcohol rehabilitation center to receive the professional care and assistance needed to treat my disease.

“I love baseball and I love my teammates like brothers, and I am also fully aware that I am leaving at a time when we should all be coming together for one last push toward the World Series. It hurts me deeply to do this now, but I owe it to myself and to my family to get myself right. I want to take control of my disease, and I want to be a better man, father and player.

“I want to thank the New York Yankees organization for their encouragement and understanding. Their support gives me great strength and has allowed me to move forward with this decision with a clear mind.

“As difficult as this decision is to share publicly, I don’t want to run and hide. But for now please respect my family’s need for privacy as we work through this challenge together.

“Being an adult means being accountable. Being a baseball player means that others look up to you. I want my kids—and others who may have become fans of mine over the years—to know that I am not too big of a man to ask for help. I want to hold my head up high, have a full heart and be the type of person again that I can be proud of. And that’s exactly what I am going to do.

“I am looking forward to being out on the field with my team next season playing the game that brings me so much happiness.”

The timing is unfortunate for the Yankees, but this situation is much bigger than baseball. Sabathia clearly has a problem and realizes he needs help right away. It takes a lot of courage to admit that. Good for him.

Hopefully Sabathia can get through this.

--Posted at 1:32 pm by SG / 45 Comments | - (0)

NYDN: Yankees could have a problem against Astros’ ace Dallas Keuchel

BALTIMORE — The Yankees are calling it a fresh start and, boy, that sure sounds nice, right? The slate is clean, the scoreboard turned back to all zeroes, and hope is fresh for the start of the postseason on Tuesday when they face the Astros in the American League wild-card game at the Stadium.

Maybe the Yanks’ recent stretch of awful play was just one of those bad streaks that every team endures during the long, 162-game slog of a season. They don’t have to dwell on it any longer, because they’ve got this new beginning and that’s something they must cling to after a rough week.

“Everything is erased,” is how Joe Girardi put it.

Convenient rhetoric or a real-live second chance? Maybe our real answer comes when they take on the tall task of Houston ace Dallas Keuchel and his young, talented teammates.

Because however the Yankees looked as they dropped six of their final seven games − tired is one adjective that springs to mind − they have a chance to prove that they are something more than the club that’s looked so dreadful for a week.

Maybe that week really was a window into what kind of team they are now after six months of play. But they can change the conversation by pounding Keuchel, keeping the Astros in the ballpark − good luck, they tied the Blue Jays for the most homers in the majors with 230 − and advancing to a division series date with the Royals.

If I had an AL Cy Young vote, it’d be Keuchel in a runaway.  But I don’t.

Anyway, Keuchel has faced the Yankees twice in 2015 and has held them to a line of .161/.175/.179 which I think is roughly what Jacoby Ellsbury hit this season.  In 16 scoreless innings against the Yankees, Keuchel has allowed nine hits, walked one and struck out 21.  In 2015 he’s held left-handed hitters to a line of .177/.201/.260 with a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.33 compared to a line of .227/.277/.328 and a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.69 vs. right-handed hitters.  That’s not good news for a Yankee team whose primarily starting lineup may have as many as six left-handed batters in it if Joe Girardi decides to start Dustin Ackley at 2B along with Ellsbury, Brett Gardner, Brian McCann, Greg Bird and Didi Gregorius.  He may opt to go with Brendan Ryan for the ‘platoon advantage’ ignoring the fact that it’s not an advantage if the player you’re using to gain the advantage couldn’t hit water if he fell off of a boat.  The odds of Girardi playing Robert Refsnyder are roughly the same as the odds of Ugly Johnny Dickshot becoming a Chase Headley fan.

Granted, Keuchel will be starting on three days’ rest, something he’s never done in his career (although he did start once on two days rest after an 11 pitch relief outing in 2013 and did pretty well).

If I were a betting man, I’d bet pretty much everything I own that the Yankees will not score against Keuchel.  That doesn’t mean they can’t win tomorrow, but it sure does make it harder.

We’ll see what happens.

--Posted at 8:18 am by SG / 71 Comments | - (0)

Sunday, October 4, 2015 Yanks to host WC Game despite loss to O’s

BALTIMORE—The Yankees secured home-field advantage against the Astros in Tuesday night’s American League Wild Card Game presented by Budweiser at Yankee Stadium.

They did so despite losing, 9-4, to the Orioles on Sunday at Camden Yards because the Astros also dropped a 5-3 decision to the D-backs in Phoenix.

Rough end to the regular season, but everything starts from scratch on Tuesday.

--Posted at 6:25 pm by SG / 36 Comments | - (0)

Yankees (87-74) @ Orioles (80-81) , Sunday October 4, 2015 , 3:05 PM

Yankees: Michael Pineda (R) (157 IP, 4.24 ERA, 3.41 FIP, 2.0 bWAR) vs. Orioles: Chris Tillman (R) (167.2 IP, 5.05 ERA, 4.48 FIP, 0.6 bWAR)

This game will determine if the Yankees will be embarrassed by Dallas Keuchel in Houston or in New York.

Normally I’d suggest ignoring this game and watching some NFL, but I’d be telling a bunch of “New York” Giants fans to watch their team get waxed by New York’s only actual NFL team, so I won’t.  I guess watch this instead if you must.

--Posted at 9:45 am by SG / 70 Comments | - (0)

Saturday, October 3, 2015 Yanks drop Game 2, delay WC home-field clinch

If the Yankees are going to clinch home-field advantage in Tuesday’s American League Wild Card Game presented by Budweiser, it may have to wait until the final day of the regular season on Sunday.

The Yanks lost both ends of Saturday’s split day-night doubleheader to the Orioles, dropping the nightcap, 4-3, when reliever Dellin Betances tossed a wild pitch in the eighth inning that scored Paul Janish with the winning run. Betances had come on to relieve Luis Severino, who threw seven innings of five-hit ball, but allowed Baltimore’s first three runs.

Pretty tough loss in the second game.

Okay, so here are the possible scenarios for tomorrow.

First off, if the Royals lose and the Blue Jays win, the Blue Jays play the winner of the Play-In Game.
If they both lose, the Royals play the winner of the Play-in Game.
If they both win, the Royals play the winner of the Play-in Game.

Now for the other stuff…

1. Yankees win, Astros win, Angels win

The Yankees host the winner of a one-game playoff between the Astros and Rangers to determine the winner of the AL West. 

2. Yankees lose, Astros win, Angels win

I think the Yankees still host the winner of a one-game playoff between the Astros and Rangers to determine the winner of the AL West. 

3. Yankees win, Astros win, Angels lose.

The Yankees host the Astros in the Play-In Game. The Rangers win the AL West.

4. Yankees lose, Astros win, Angels lose

The Astros host the Yankees in the Play-in Game. The Rangers win the AL West.

5. Yankees win, Astros lose, Angels win

The Yankees host the winner of a one-game playoff between the Astros and Angels. The Rangers win the AL West.

6. Yankees lose, Astros lose, Angels win

The Yankees host the winner of a one-game playoff between the Astros and Angels. The Rangers win the AL West.

7. Yankees lose, Astros lose, Angels lose.

The Yankees host the Astros in the Play-In Game. The Rangers win the AL West.

8. Yankees win, Astros lose, Angels lose.

The Yankees host the Astros in the Play-in Game. The Rangers win the AL West.

So, a lot of scenarios where the Yankees still host the Play-In Game. But I don’t think I’d bet it.

--Posted at 8:49 pm by Brian Cronin / 20 Comments | - (0)

Yankees (87-72) @ Orioles (78-81) , Saturday October 3, 2015 , House Money Double Header

Game 1: Yankees: Ivan Nova (R) (88.1 IP, 4.89 ERA, 4.79 FIP, 0.7 bWAR) vs. Orioles: Wei-Yin Chen (L) (185.1 IP, 3.35 ERA, 4.18 FIP, 3.5 bWAR)

Game 1 Lineups
1. Brett Gardner (L) CF: (.262/.346/.405), 3.5 bWAR
2. Rob Refsnyder (R) 2B: (.286/.333/.514), 0.1 bWAR
3. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.252/.357/.491), 3.0 bWAR
4. Chris Young (R) LF: (.251/.318/.448), 1.1 bWAR
5. Chase Headley (S) 3B: (.262/.326/.374), 1.4 bWAR
6. John Ryan Murphy (R) C: (.283/.329/.414), 0.6 bWAR
7. Jose Pirela (R) RF: (.229/.247/.314), -0.6 bWAR
8. Austin Romine (R) 1B: (—-/—-/—-), 0.0 bWAR
9. Brendan Ryan (R) SS: (.228/.276/.337), 0.0 bWAR
Total Lineup bWAR: 9.1


I’m not sure the weather will even allow these games to be played…

Game 2: Yankees: Luis Severino (R) (55.1 IP, 2.77 ERA, 4.22 FIP, 1.8 bWAR) vs. Orioles: Ubaldo Jimenez (178 IP, 4.10 ERA, 4.04 FIP, 2.5 bWAR)

1. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF: (.261/.320/.351), 2.0 bWAR
2. Dustin Ackley (L) LF: (.229/.281/.424), -0.9 bWAR
3. Carlos Beltran (S) DH: (.273/.333/.470), 0.7 bWAR
4. Brian McCann (L) C: (.234/.321/.441), 2.8 bWAR
5. Greg Bird (L) 1B: (.255/.337/.530), 0.8 bWAR
6. Rob Refsnyder (R) 2B: (.286/.333/.514), 0.1 bWAR
7. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.263/.317/.364), 3.1 bWAR
8. Slade Heathcott (L) RF: (.391/.370/.696), 0.3 bWAR
9. Brendan Ryan (R) 3B: (.228/.276/.337), 0.0 bWAR
Total Lineup bWAR: 8.9

1. Nolan Reimold (R) CF: (.236/.324/.373), -0.3 bWAR
2. Gerardo Parra (L) RF: (.283/.320/.444), 0.6 bWAR
3. Manny Machado (R) 3B: (.287/.360/.498), 6.9 bWAR
4. Chris Davis (L) 1B: (.258/.355/.549), 4.7 bWAR
5. Steve Pearce (R) LF: (.223/.295/.433), -0.1 bWAR
6. Steve Clevenger (L) DH: (.303/.333/.461), 0.5 bWAR
7. Caleb Joseph (R) C: (.237/.301/.397), 2.3 bWAR
8. Ryan Flaherty (L) 2B: (.208/.289/.365), -0.2 bWAR
9. Paul Janish (R) SS: (.250/.242/.313), 0.1 bWAR
Total Lineup bWAR: 14.5

--Posted at 10:17 am by SG / 81 Comments | - (0)

Friday, October 2, 2015 Yankees Secure the Right to Lose in the American League Wild Card Game

Twenty-four hours before the series finale, the Yankees were at a crossroads of sorts—so close to the 52nd playoff berth in franchise history, yet frustrated by three straight losses to the Red Sox. Missed opportunities had plagued them, and the anticipation in a frustrated clubhouse was budding.
But on Thursday night, in the 10,000th win in the franchise’s storied history—a 4-1 victory over the Red Sox at rainy Yankee Stadium—the Yankees finally turned the corner, clinching an American League Wild Card spot. The Yanks could clinch home-field advantage for the AL Wild Card Game presented by Budweiser with one more win or one Astros loss.

Gotta love that commitment to the “presented by Budweiser” aspect of the Wild Card play-in game.

It sure was pretty awesome to have the Yankees clinch a playoff spot with their 10,000th career win, at home, against the Red Sox.

I was reading an article today about how many people got the American League playoff picture all wrong, as not a single major prognosticator from ESPN, Fangraphs or SB Nation predicted the Royals to make the playoffs. The Royals! The team that was just in the World Series last year! It made me think about how so many people were wrong about this Yankees team. CC Sabathia said as much during the celebration after the game, noting how people predicted them to finish in fourth place or last place. This team has definitely had more success than I or any of you expected. That said, if I had told you that A-Rod would slug nearly .500 in over 600 plate appearances and that Mark Teixeira would miss the final month plus of the season but still have nearly 40 home runs, you…I wouldn’t say wouldn’t believe it, as both of those things were possible (and of course you’d believe the “Mark Teixeira misses the final month of the season” part), but they also weren’t particularly likely. But if you knew that they were true and if you knew that Masahiro Tanaka and Michael Pineda would not miss too much time this season, then you would believe that this team could win in the high 80s, wouldn’t you? So this team is a bit less of a surprise than, say, Minnesota, who still doesn’t make any sense that they’re legitimately in the hunt for a playoff spot still with three games to play.

But that’s really neither here nor there, as the main thing is WOOHOO! The Yankees made the playoffs!!

For the rest of the weekend, we have to root for a few things:

1. Minnesota somehow pulling it out, as, come on, they are so clearly worse than everyone else.
2. Houston losing at least one game, so the Yankees would at least get home field in the Play-In Game (SPONSORED BY BUDWEISER!). The Yankees can also solve that by just winning one of their games in rain-soaked Baltimore
3. Houston at least having to use Dallas Keuchel in the second-to-last game of the season.
4. Some crazy tie scenario where Dallas Keuchel has to pitch in a tiebreaker.

and then the tricky one…we want Minnesota to make the Wild Card, but for them to do so, they’ll have to defeat Kansas City, and Kansas City is currently tied with Toronto for the best record in the American League. The Blue Jays own the tiebreaker, so if Minnesota makes the Wild Card, then KC cannot finish with a better record than Toronto. I think I’d accept playing the Blue Jays in the ALDS if it meant that the Yankees MADE the ALDS.

In other news, Lazarusabathia had another good game and Adam Warren was excellent in relief. Betances closed it out, which was good to see, as he’s proooobably the Yankee MVP this season. Greg Bird and Rob Refsnyder both hit home runs, giving us SOME hope during the offseason, which will likely begin around 10:30 PM on Tuesday.

--Posted at 12:44 am by Brian Cronin / 80 Comments | - (0)

Thursday, October 1, 2015

Red Sox (78-80) @ Yankees (86-72) , Thursday October 1, 2015 , 7:05 PM

Red Sox: Rich Hill (L) (23 IP, 1.17 ERA, 1.62 FIP, 1.4 bWAR) vs. Yankees: CC Sabathia (L) (162.1 IP, 4.82 ERA, 4.71 FIP, 0.9 bWAR)

Red Sox
1. Mookie Betts (R) CF: (.296/.344/.488), 6.1 bWAR
2. Jackie Bradley Jr. (L) LF: (.254/.338/.512), 2.2 bWAR
3. Xander Bogaerts (R) SS: (.323/.355/.424), 4.7 bWAR
4. Travis Shaw (L) 1B: (.276/.336/.510), 1.3 bWAR
5. Rusney Castillo (R) RF: (.266/.300/.378), 1.0 bWAR
6. Allen Craig (R) DH: (.135/.229/.189), -0.7 bWAR
7. Deven Marrero (R) 3B: (.250/.250/.318), -0.5 bWAR
8. Sandy Leon (S) C: (.173/.232/.192), -0.4 bWAR
9. Josh Rutledge (R) 2B: (.292/.347/.354), 0.0 bWAR
Total Lineup bWAR: 11.5

1. Jacoby Ellsbury (L) CF: (.261/.320/.351), 2.0 bWAR
2. Rob Refsnyder (R) 2B: (.290/.343/.452), 0.0 bWAR
3. Alex Rodriguez (R) DH: (.252/.356/.492), 3.0 bWAR
4. Carlos Beltran (S) RF: (.274/.333/.466), 0.6 bWAR
5. Chris Young (R) LF: (.250/.316/.446), 0.9 bWAR
6. John Ryan Murphy (R) C: (.287/.325/.420), 0.6 bWAR
7. Greg Bird (L) 1B: (.255/.339/.517), 0.7 bWAR
8. Didi Gregorius (L) SS: (.262/.315/.363), 3.0 bWAR
9. Brendan Ryan (R) 3B: (.225/.274/.337), 0.0 bWAR
Total Lineup bWAR: 10.8

--Posted at 3:12 pm by SG / 71 Comments | - (0) Rivals delay Yanks’ potential celebration

The Yankees received all the good news they needed from the out-of-town scoreboard on Wednesday, but the Red Sox delayed a potential celebration, scoring four runs in the top of the 11th inning to spoil the party with a 9-5 victory at Yankee Stadium.

Deven Marrero connected for a go-ahead single off Andrew Bailey and Mookie Betts added a two-run homer off Chasen Shreve, part of a two-homer game for the budding star, as the Yankees were unable to clinch a postseason berth.

A victory would have popped some corks in the home clubhouse, combined with the Twins’ loss to the Indians and the Angels’ loss to the Athletics. The Yankees have also been stuck on 9,999 regular-season victories, falling short in their third attempt to reach a round number milestone. Their magic number to clinch a playoff berth is now one.

After another dispiriting loss (and right in front of what is likely to be yet another loss, as Rich Hill has been great in his freakish out of nowhere return to starting pitching and he is, you know, a lefty, and CC Sabathia is, you know, not very good, and the Yankees’ only three good relievers will not be available tomorrow night), the fact remains that Wednesday night still worked out pretty well for the Yankees. The Angels lost and the Twins split a doubleheader.

The standings for the Wild Card now read:

NY Yankees 86-72 (four games left)
Texas 86-72 (currently the AL West leaders) (four games left - all against the Angels)
Houston 84-75 (three games left)
LA Angels 83-75 (four games left - all against Texas)
Minnesota 82-76 (four games left)

The Yankees have already clinched at least a tie for the Wild Card.
If the Yankees win a single game in Baltimore (as they’re clearly not winning Thursday night), they’re in.
The interesting thing to me, though, is that their odds have gotten slightly worse regarding backing into the playoffs, as while Minnesota is likely not going to catch them (as it is seems unlikely that they’ll win their last four games), I wouldn’t be surprised at a Houston sweep of Arizona and Los Angeles taking 3 out of 4 against Texas. In that scenario, the records would be:

Yankees 86-76
Houston 87-75
Angels 86-76
Texas 87-75

I honestly don’t know what would happen in that scenario, as no one in the sports media is talking about any scenario in which the Yankees do not win one of their last four games, which is probably good news to hear (everyone thinks it is extremely likely that the Yankees win one of the last four games and clinch), but I don’t see how you don’t show possible scenarios when those scenarios are still, you know, possible.

Anyhow, come on, Yankees, just win one game in Baltimore, please! By the way, just so you know, the Orioles have decided to bump Wei-Lei Chen from his start Thursday to start against the Yankees on Friday to screw with the Yankees. I honestly can’t begrudge them it. If the Yankees are going to continue to be this pathetic against lefties, they deserve getting screwed over for it. Now a win is even more important, if only to stick it to Buck for him trying to stick it to the Yankees.

--Posted at 2:40 am by Brian Cronin / 51 Comments | - (0)

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